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Category Archives: NFP Forecasting Model
No Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) Model Post this Month
I finished the VIX futures project and I am trading the new hedged VIX futures strategy. However, I am now working on a new in-depth options article and do not anticipate releasing new Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) model posts until after … Continue reading
No Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) Model Post This Month
Due to the demands of an ongoing VIX futures research project, Trader Edge will not publish a Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) model forecast this month. The VIX futures project is much more complex than I initially anticipated. I have developed and … Continue reading
No Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) Forecast This Month
Due to the demands of an ongoing research project related to VIX futures, Trader Edge will not publish a Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) model forecast this month. I expect to resume publishing NFP model forecasts next month. Brian Johnson
Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) Model Forecast – September 2016
This article presents the Trader Edge aggregate neural network model forecast for the September 2016 non-farm payroll data, which is scheduled to be released tomorrow morning at 8:30 AM EDT.
Recession Model Forecast: 09-01-2016
The following article updates the diffusion index, recession slack index, aggregate recession model, and aggregate peak-trough model through August 2016. Throughout 2015, I added a number of new economic and market-based variables with very strong explanatory power to the recession … Continue reading
Posted in Economic Indicators, Market Commentary, Market Timing, NFP Forecasting Model, Risk Management
Tagged aggregate peak-trough model, aggregate recession model, diffusion index, logit model, probit model, recession forecast, recession forecast August 2016, Recession Slack Index, Trader Edge
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Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) Model Forecast – August 2016
This article presents the Trader Edge aggregate neural network model forecast for the August 2016 non-farm payroll data, which is scheduled to be released tomorrow morning at 8:30 AM EDT.
Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) Model Forecast – July 2016
This article presents the Trader Edge aggregate neural network model forecast for the July 2016 non-farm payroll data, which is scheduled to be released tomorrow morning at 8:30 AM EDT.
Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) Model Forecast – October 2016
This article presents the Trader Edge aggregate neural network model forecast for the October 2016 non-farm payroll data, which is scheduled to be released tomorrow morning at 8:30 AM EDT.