Category Archives: Strategy Development

Warning – The Perils of Annuities

Posted on May 9, 2013 by

The concept is simple: write a single check to an insurance company and receive monthly income for the rest of your life, even if you live to be 100.  No more worries about market crashes, bursting bubbles, interest rate fluctuations, … Continue reading →

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Posted in Risk Management, Strategy Development | Tagged , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment

Combine Indicators to Identify High-Probability Reversals

Posted on January 24, 2013 by

I read about this indicator in an article titled “The DMI Stochastic,” which appeared in the January 2013 issue of Technical Analysis of Stocks and Commodities.  The article was written by Barbara Star.  In the article, Star combined two well-known … Continue reading →

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Posted in AmiBroker Code, In-Depth Article, Market Timing, Strategy Development, Technical Analysis | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , | 15 Comments

Modified Chartmill Value Indicator (MCVI)

Posted on January 19, 2013 by

I read about this indicator in an article titled “The Chartmill Value Indicator,” which appeared in the January 2013 issue of Technical Analysis of Stocks and Commodities.  The article was written by Dirk Vandycke.  In the article, Vandycke introduced an … Continue reading →

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Posted in AmiBroker Code, In-Depth Article, Market Timing, Strategy Development, SWAMI Charts, Technical Analysis | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , | 20 Comments

Active Trader Article: Option Strategies for Bull-Market Reversals

Posted on December 13, 2012 by

I have a new article in the January 2013 issue of Active Trader magazine.  I received the January issue in the mail earlier this week, so it should also be available at Barnes and Noble bookstores.  If not, it should … Continue reading →

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Posted in Market Timing, Options, Strategy Development | Tagged , , , , , , , | Leave a comment

U.S. Recession Risk Jumps 20% in November

Posted on December 10, 2012 by

I introduced the topic of recession forecasting in late October and have since developed several recession forecasting tools that I created by applying probit, logit, and neural network models to a diffusion index of economic and market-related variables.  If you … Continue reading →

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Posted in Economic Indicators, Fundamental Analysis, Market Commentary, Market Timing, Recession Forecasting Model, Strategy Development | Tagged , , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment

Long-Only Equity Strategy Earned 44% in 2008

Posted on November 26, 2012 by

I read about this strategy in an article titled “The Low-Close Edge,” which appeared in the December 2012 issue of Active Trader.  The article was written by Nat Stewart.  Stewart introduced a very simple, systematic, long-only equity strategy that generated … Continue reading →

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Posted in Market Timing, Strategy Development, Technical Analysis | Tagged , , , , , , | 7 Comments