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Tag Archives: earnings estimates
Extreme Divergence: Earnings and Equity Prices
Earnings are the ultimate driver of stock prices and the divergence between earnings expectations and equity prices has become even more extreme. Given that the market is technically overbought, implied volatility is extremely low, the CBOE Skew Index is over … Continue reading
Q4 2012 Earnings Preview
Earnings season is here again, which provides a timely reminder that earnings are the ultimate driver of stock prices. The following article explores the recent trend in equity prices and earnings estimates.
Q3 2012 Earnings Preview
With the daily deluge of new data, it is easy to lose the forest for the trees. When in doubt, focus on earnings, the ultimate driver of stock prices. If I could choose one statistic to know in advance, it … Continue reading
Prices and Earnings Diverge
According to FactSet, since June 1, the price of the S&P 500 index has increased by 6.4%, while the year-over-year earnings growth rate for Q3 has declined from +3.5% to -1.6%. In other words, while analysts were reducing their earnings … Continue reading
Earnings-Price Divergence Always Followed by Negative Returns
I recently wrote about the extreme divergence between earnings and equity prices, but did not have access to comprehensive historical earnings data until recently. In the article above, I referenced the past few years of earnings data, which was provided … Continue reading →