Tag Archives: recession risk

Bulls Beware

Posted on May 1, 2016 by

I have been working daily on designing and backtesting various option strategies, which will continue to be my focus for the foreseeable future. As a result, the time available for writing new posts has been and will continue to be … Continue reading →

Share
Posted in Earnings, Economic Indicators, Fundamental Analysis, Market Commentary, Market Timing, Recession Forecasting Model, Relative Strength, Risk Management | Tagged , , , | Leave a comment

Recession Model Improvements

Posted on November 21, 2012 by

I introduced the topic of recession forecasting in late October with a discussion of Capital Spectator’s Economic Trend index, which I used as a foundation for two new recession forecasting models. Last week I explained the potential limitations of forecasting … Continue reading →

Share
Posted in Economic Indicators, Market Commentary, Market Timing, Recession Forecasting Model | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , | 2 Comments