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Tag Archives: Nate Silver
Unexpected Probability Parallels
A few weeks ago I wrote an article on Trader Edge titled “Political Diversions”, which introduced two sites with different but effective methodologies for determining probabilistic election forecasts. One of those sites was Nate Silver’s FiveThirtyEight.com, which is arguably the … Continue reading
Posted in Options
Tagged election probabilities, FiveThirtyEight.com, Nate Silver, option payoff probabilities, Z-score
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Political Diversions
I don’t believe it is appropriate to use this forum to spread my political beliefs. However, I do follow politics and I wanted to share with you two interesting sites that forecast election results. The first is Nate Silver’s FiveThirtyEight.com. … Continue reading