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Tag Archives: Z-score
Unexpected Probability Parallels
A few weeks ago I wrote an article on Trader Edge titled “Political Diversions”, which introduced two sites with different but effective methodologies for determining probabilistic election forecasts. One of those sites was Nate Silver’s FiveThirtyEight.com, which is arguably the … Continue reading
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Tagged election probabilities, FiveThirtyEight.com, Nate Silver, option payoff probabilities, Z-score
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