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Author Archives: Brian Johnson
Recession Model Updates Resume Next Month: 12-01-2020
I am still working on the rollout of the new AI Volatility Model Edge (AIVE) Platform. The AIVE platform for 32-bit versions of Excel is now available! This version is compatible with 32-bit and 64-bit versions of Microsoft Windows. I … Continue reading
New AI Volatility Edge Platform
The AI Volatility Edge platform uses the latest in machine learning algorithms to identify and quantify real-time volatility pricing anomalies Continue reading
Recession Model Forecast: 09-01-2020
I made a number of significant improvements to the recession model in January of 2020. If you missed the January recession model post, or if you would like to review the improvements to the models, please revisit the Recession Model … Continue reading
Posted in Economic Indicators, Fundamental Analysis, Market Commentary, Market Timing, Recession Forecasting Model, Risk Management, Strategy Development
Tagged aggregate peak-trough model, aggregate recession model, Brian Johnson, diffusion index, logit model, probit model, recession forecast, Recession Slack Index, risk management, Trader Edge
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Recession Model Forecast: 08-01-2020
I made a number of significant improvements to the recession model in January of 2020. If you missed the January recession model post, or if you would like to review the improvements to the models, please revisit the Recession Model … Continue reading
Posted in Economic Indicators, Fundamental Analysis, Market Commentary, Market Timing, Recession Forecasting Model, Risk Management, Strategy Development
Tagged aggregate peak-trough model, aggregate recession model, diffusion index, logit model, probit model, recession forecast, Recession Slack Index, Trader Edge
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Recession Model Forecast: 07-01-2020
I made a number of significant improvements to the recession model in January of 2020. If you missed the January recession model post, or if you would like to review the improvements to the models, please revisit the Recession Model … Continue reading
Posted in Economic Indicators, Fundamental Analysis, In-Depth Article, Market Commentary, Market Timing, Recession Forecasting Model, Risk Management, Strategy Development
Tagged aggregate peak-trough model, aggregate recession model, diffusion index, logit model, probit model, recession forecast, recession forecast June 2020, Recession Slack Index, Trader Edge
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Recession Model Forecast: 06-01-2020
I made a number of significant improvements to the recession model in January of 2020. If you missed the January recession model post, or if you would like to review the improvements to the models, please revisit the Recession Model … Continue reading
Posted in Economic Indicators, Fundamental Analysis, Market Commentary, Market Timing, Recession Forecasting Model, Risk Management, Strategy Development
Tagged aggregate peak-trough model, aggregate recession model, diffusion index, logit model, probit model, recession forecast, recession forecast May 2020, Recession Slack Index, Trader Edge
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Recession Model Forecast: 05-01-2020
I made a number of significant improvements to the recession model in January of 2020. If you missed the January recession model post, or if you would like to review the improvements to the models, please revisit the Recession Model … Continue reading
Posted in Economic Indicators, Fundamental Analysis, In-Depth Article, Market Commentary, Market Timing, Recession Forecasting Model, Risk Management, Strategy Development
Tagged aggregate peak-trough model, aggregate recession model, diffusion index, logit model, probit model, recession forecast, recession forecast April 2020, Recession Slack Index, Trader Edge
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No Recession Model Post this Month (10-01-2020)
I have been working on a new volatility project for the past year and I am in the final stages of building, testing, and releasing a comprehensive AI Volatility Modeling platform. This new tool uses the latest in machine learning … Continue reading →