Recession Model Forecast: 05-01-2018

Posted on May 26, 2018 by

The following article updates the diffusion index, recession slack index, aggregate recession model, and aggregate peak-trough model through April 2018. The current 21-variable model has a diverse set of explanatory variables and is quite robust. Each of the explanatory variables has predictive power individually; when combined, the group of indicators is able to identify early recession warnings from a wide range of diverse market-based, fundamental, technical, and economic sources.

Several of the explanatory variables are market-based. These variables respond very quickly to changing market conditions and are never revised. This makes the Trader Edge recession model much more responsive than other recession models. The current and historical data in this report reflect the current model configuration with all 21 variables. Continue reading →

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Recession Model Forecast: 04-01-2018

Posted on April 22, 2018 by

The following article updates the diffusion index, recession slack index, aggregate recession model, and aggregate peak-trough model through March 2018. The current 21-variable model has a diverse set of explanatory variables and is quite robust. Each of the explanatory variables has predictive power individually; when combined, the group of indicators is able to identify early recession warnings from a wide range of diverse market-based, fundamental, technical, and economic sources.

Several of the explanatory variables are market-based. These variables respond very quickly to changing market conditions and are never revised. This makes the Trader Edge recession model much more responsive than other recession models. The current and historical data in this report reflect the current model configuration with all 21 variables. Continue reading →

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Recession Model Forecast: 03-01-2018

Posted on March 18, 2018 by

The following article updates the diffusion index, recession slack index, aggregate recession model, and aggregate peak-trough model through February 2018. The current 21-variable model has a diverse set of explanatory variables and is quite robust. Each of the explanatory variables has predictive power individually; when combined, the group of indicators is able to identify early recession warnings from a wide range of diverse market-based, fundamental, technical, and economic sources.

Several of the explanatory variables are market-based. These variables respond very quickly to changing market conditions and are never revised. This makes the Trader Edge recession model much more responsive than other recession models. The current and historical data in this report reflect the current model configuration with all 21 variables. Continue reading →

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Recession Model Forecast: 02-01-2018

Posted on February 24, 2018 by

The following article updates the diffusion index, recession slack index, aggregate recession model, and aggregate peak-trough model through January 2018. The current 21-variable model has a diverse set of explanatory variables and is quite robust. Each of the explanatory variables has predictive power individually; when combined, the group of indicators is able to identify early recession warnings from a wide range of diverse market-based, fundamental, technical, and economic sources.

Several of the explanatory variables are market-based. These variables respond very quickly to changing market conditions and are never revised. This makes the Trader Edge recession model much more responsive than other recession models. The current and historical data in this report reflect the current model configuration with all 21 variables. Continue reading →

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Recession Model Forecast: 01-01-2018

Posted on January 21, 2018 by

The following article updates the diffusion index, recession slack index, aggregate recession model, and aggregate peak-trough model through December 2017. The current 21-variable model has a diverse set of explanatory variables and is quite robust. Each of the explanatory variables has predictive power individually; when combined, the group of indicators is able to identify early recession warnings from a wide range of diverse market-based, fundamental, technical, and economic sources.

Several of the explanatory variables are market-based. These variables respond very quickly to changing market conditions and are never revised. This makes the Trader Edge recession model much more responsive than other recession models. The current and historical data in this report reflect the current model configuration with all 21 variables. Continue reading →

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Recession Model Forecast: 12-01-2017

Posted on December 22, 2017 by

The following article updates the diffusion index, recession slack index, aggregate recession model, and aggregate peak-trough model through November 2017. The current 21-variable model has a diverse set of explanatory variables and is quite robust. Each of the explanatory variables has predictive power individually; when combined, the group of indicators is able to identify early recession warnings from a wide range of diverse market-based, fundamental, technical, and economic sources.

Several of the explanatory variables are market-based. These variables respond very quickly to changing market conditions and are never revised. This makes the Trader Edge recession model much more responsive than other recession models. The current and historical data in this report reflect the current model configuration with all 21 variables. Continue reading →

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Recession Model Forecast: 11-01-2017

Posted on November 25, 2017 by

The following article updates the diffusion index, recession slack index, aggregate recession model, and aggregate peak-trough model through October 2017. The current 21-variable model has a diverse set of explanatory variables and is quite robust. Each of the explanatory variables has predictive power individually; when combined, the group of indicators is able to identify early recession warnings from a wide range of diverse market-based, fundamental, technical, and economic sources.

Several of the explanatory variables are market-based. These variables respond very quickly to changing market conditions and are never revised. This makes the Trader Edge recession model much more responsive than other recession models. The current and historical data in this report reflect the current model configuration with all 21 variables. Continue reading →

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Recession Model Forecast: 10-01-2017

Posted on October 29, 2017 by

The following article updates the diffusion index, recession slack index, aggregate recession model, and aggregate peak-trough model through September 2017. The current 21-variable model has a diverse set of explanatory variables and is quite robust. Each of the explanatory variables has predictive power individually; when combined, the group of indicators is able to identify early recession warnings from a wide range of diverse market-based, fundamental, technical, and economic sources.

Several of the explanatory variables are market-based. These variables respond very quickly to changing market conditions and are never revised. This makes the Trader Edge recession model much more responsive than other recession models. The current and historical data in this report reflect the current model configuration with all 21 variables. Continue reading →

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Posted in Economic Indicators, Fundamental Analysis, Market Timing, Recession Forecasting Model, Risk Management | Tagged , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment