Capital Discussions Group Presentation Video

Posted on April 24, 2017 by

OSHRM200x300Below is the recorded video of an online presentation that I gave to the Capital Discussions group. The presentation demonstrates how to use the spreadsheet tools that accompany my new in-depth (100+ page) article: Option Strategy Hedging & Risk Management: An In-Depth Article Introducing an Interactive Analytical Framework for Hedging Option Strategy Risk. The presentation also provides an overview of the principal topics in the article. I suggest using the full-screen option (if available) to view the video.

Option Strategy Hedging & Risk Management presents a comprehensive analytical framework and accompanying spreadsheet tools for managing and hedging option strategy risk. I developed these practical techniques to hedge the unique and often overlooked risks associated with trading option strategies. These revolutionary new tools can be applied to any option strategy, in any market environment. The Kindle ($9.99) and Print ($14.99) versions are both available on Amazon.

Brian Johnson

Copyright 2017 Trading Insights, LLC. All rights reserved.

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Posted in Futures, In-Depth Article, Options, Recommended Reading, Risk Management, Strategy Development, Video | Tagged , , , , , , | Leave a comment

Recession Model Forecast: 04-01-2017

Posted on April 24, 2017 by

The following article updates the diffusion index, recession slack index, aggregate recession model, and aggregate peak-trough model through March 2017. The current 21-variable model has a diverse set of explanatory variables and is quite robust. Each of the explanatory variables has predictive power individually; when combined, the group of indicators is able to identify early recession warnings from a wide range of diverse market-based, fundamental, technical, and economic sources.

Several of the explanatory variables are market-based. These variables respond very quickly to changing market conditions and are never revised. This makes the Trader Edge recession model much more responsive than other recession models. The current and historical data in this report reflect the current model configuration with all 21 variables. Continue reading →

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Posted in Economic Indicators, Fundamental Analysis, Market Timing, Recession Forecasting Model, Risk Management | Tagged , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment

Option Strategy Hedging & Risk Management: Video 3

Posted on April 6, 2017 by

OSHRM200x300The following is the third and last in a series of videos that demonstrate how to use the spreadsheet tools that accompany my new in-depth (100+ page) article: Option Strategy Hedging & Risk Management: An In-Depth Article Introducing an Interactive Analytical Framework for Hedging Option Strategy Risk. The Kindle ($9.99) and Print ($14.99) versions are both available on Amazon.

Option Strategy Hedging & Risk Management presents a comprehensive analytical framework and accompanying spreadsheet tools for managing and hedging option strategy risk. I developed these practical techniques to hedge the unique and often overlooked risks associated with trading option strategies. These revolutionary new tools can be applied to any option strategy, in any market environment.

The following video demonstrates how to use the spreadsheet tools that accompanies my new article (Option Strategy Hedging & Risk Management) to identify the lowest-cost black-swan hedge using VIX call options and/or put options on the underlying security.

Brian Johnson

Copyright 2017 Trading Insights, LLC. All rights reserved.

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Option Strategy Hedging & Risk Management: Video 2

Posted on April 5, 2017 by

OSHRM200x300The following is the second in a series of videos that demonstrate how to use the spreadsheet tools that accompany my new in-depth (100+ page) article: Option Strategy Hedging & Risk Management: An In-Depth Article Introducing an Interactive Analytical Framework for Hedging Option Strategy Risk. The Kindle ($9.99) and Print ($14.99) versions are both available on Amazon.

Option Strategy Hedging & Risk Management presents a comprehensive analytical framework and accompanying spreadsheet tools for managing and hedging option strategy risk. I developed these practical techniques to hedge the unique and often overlooked risks associated with trading option strategies. These revolutionary new tools can be applied to any option strategy, in any market environment.

The following video demonstrates how to use the tools on the Futures Hedge tab of the spreadsheet that accompanies my new article: Option Strategy Hedging & Risk Management.

Brian Johnson

Copyright 2017 Trading Insights, LLC. All rights reserved.

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Option Strategy Hedging & Risk Management Video 1

Posted on April 4, 2017 by

OSHRM200x300The following is the first in a series of videos that demonstrate how to use the spreadsheet tools that accompany my new in-depth (100+ page) article: Option Strategy Hedging & Risk Management: An In-Depth Article Introducing an Interactive Analytical Framework for Hedging Option Strategy Risk. The Kindle ($9.99) and Print ($14.99) versions are both available on Amazon.

Option Strategy Hedging & Risk Management presents a comprehensive analytical framework and accompanying spreadsheet tools for managing and hedging option strategy risk. I developed these practical techniques to hedge the unique and often overlooked risks associated with trading option strategies. These revolutionary new tools can be applied to any option strategy, in any market environment.

The following video demonstrates how to use the tools on the Position Size tab of the spreadsheet that accompanies my new article: Option Strategy Hedging & Risk Management.

Brian Johnson

Copyright 2017 Trading Insights, LLC. All rights reserved.

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#1 New Options Release on Amazon

Posted on March 31, 2017 by

OSHRM200x300"Option Strategy Hedging & Risk Management: An In-Depth Article Introducing an Interactive Analytical Framework for Hedging Option Strategy Risk" is the #1 New Options Release on Amazon. The Kindle ($9.99) and Print ($14.99) versions are both available.

Option Strategy Hedging & Risk Management presents a comprehensive analytical framework and accompanying spreadsheet tools for managing and hedging option strategy risk. I developed these practical techniques to hedge the unique and often overlooked risks associated with trading option strategies. These revolutionary new tools can be applied to any option strategy, in any market environment.

If you enjoy the article, please take a few minutes to provide a brief review on Amazon. It would be greatly appreciated. Thank you for your support.

Brian Johnson

Copyright 2017 Trading Insights, LLC. All rights reserved.

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Print Version of Brian Johnson’s New Options Publication Available

Posted on March 29, 2017 by

OSHRM200x300The Kindle ($9.99) and Print ($14.99) versions of my new in-depth (100+ page) options article "Option Strategy Hedging & Risk Management: An In-Depth Article Introducing an Interactive Analytical Framework for Hedging Option Strategy Risk", are now both available on Amazon.

Option Strategy Hedging & Risk Management presents a comprehensive analytical framework and accompanying spreadsheet tools for managing and hedging option strategy risk. I developed these practical techniques to hedge the unique and often overlooked risks associated with trading option strategies. These revolutionary new tools can be applied to any option strategy, in any market environment.

If you enjoy the article, please take a few minutes to provide a brief review on Amazon. It would be greatly appreciated. Thank you.

Brian Johnson

Copyright 2017 Trading Insights, LLC. All rights reserved.

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Recession Model Forecast: 03-01-2017

Posted on March 27, 2017 by

The following article updates the diffusion index, recession slack index, aggregate recession model, and aggregate peak-trough model through February 2017. Throughout 2015, I added a number of new economic and market-based variables with very strong explanatory power to the recession model. This allowed me to cull three of the original independent variables with the weakest historical performance and most questionable cause and effect recessionary influence. I added one new variable with surprisingly strong explanatory power at the end of February 2016. The current 21-variable model has a diverse set of explanatory variables and is quite robust.

Each of the explanatory variables has predictive power individually; when combined, the group of indicators is able to identify early recession warnings from a wide range of diverse market-based, fundamental, technical, and economic sources. After the latest additions and deletions, the total number of explanatory recession model variables is now 21. The current and historical data in this report reflect the current model configuration with all 21 variables. Continue reading →

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Posted in Economic Indicators, Fundamental Analysis, Market Timing, Recession Forecasting Model, Risk Management | Tagged , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment