Tag Archives: non-farm payroll forecast

Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) Forecast – November 2012

Posted on December 6, 2012 by

I introduced a simple non-farm payroll forecasting model a few months ago and revised the model last month.  The revisions improved the fit and reduced the standard error.  Going forward, I may also attempt to build a neural network model … Continue reading →

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Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) Model Forecast – October 2012

Posted on November 1, 2012 by

I introduced a simple non-farm payroll forecasting model last month.  Since then, I have revised the model, which improved the fit and reduced the standard error.  This article explains the current forecast for the October non-farm payroll data, which will … Continue reading →

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Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) Model Forecast – October 2012

Posted on October 4, 2012 by

The monthly non-farm payroll or employment report is arguably one of the most influential economic releases in the US.  While it may not be the best leading economic indicator, it does move the market. I have been surprised by the … Continue reading →

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