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Category Archives: Market Commentary
Recession Model Forecast: 08012018
The following article updates the diffusion index, recession slack index, aggregate recession model, and aggregate peaktrough model through July 2018. The current 21variable model has a diverse set of explanatory variables and is quite robust. Each of the explanatory variables … Continue reading
Posted in Economic Indicators, Fundamental Analysis, Market Commentary, Market Timing, Recession Forecasting Model, Risk Management, Strategy Development
Tagged aggregate peaktrough model, aggregate recession model, diffusion index, logit model, probit model, recession forecast, recession forecast July 2018, Recession Slack Index, Trader Edge
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Recession Model Forecast: 07012018
The following article updates the diffusion index, recession slack index, aggregate recession model, and aggregate peaktrough model through June 2018. The current 21variable model has a diverse set of explanatory variables and is quite robust. Each of the explanatory variables … Continue reading
Posted in Economic Indicators, Fundamental Analysis, Market Commentary, Market Timing, Recession Forecasting Model, Risk Management, Strategy Development
Tagged aggregate peaktrough model, aggregate recession model, diffusion index, logit model, probit model, recession forecast, recession forecast June 2018, Recession Slack Index, Trader Edge
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Recession Model Forecast: 06012018
The following article updates the diffusion index, recession slack index, aggregate recession model, and aggregate peaktrough model through May 2018. The current 21variable model has a diverse set of explanatory variables and is quite robust. Each of the explanatory variables … Continue reading
Posted in Economic Indicators, Fundamental Analysis, Market Commentary, Market Timing, Recession Forecasting Model, Risk Management
Tagged aggregate peaktrough model, aggregate recession model, diffusion index, logit model, probit model, recession forecast, recession forecast May 2018, Recession Slack Index, Trader Edge
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Recession Model Forecast: 05012018
The following article updates the diffusion index, recession slack index, aggregate recession model, and aggregate peaktrough model through April 2018. The current 21variable model has a diverse set of explanatory variables and is quite robust. Each of the explanatory variables … Continue reading
Posted in Economic Indicators, Fundamental Analysis, Market Commentary, Market Timing, Recession Forecasting Model, Risk Management
Tagged aggregate peaktrough model, aggregate recession model, diffusion index, logit model, probit model, recession forecast, recession forecast April 2018, Recession Slack Index, Trader Edge
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Recession Model Forecast: 04012018
The following article updates the diffusion index, recession slack index, aggregate recession model, and aggregate peaktrough model through March 2018. The current 21variable model has a diverse set of explanatory variables and is quite robust. Each of the explanatory variables … Continue reading
Posted in Economic Indicators, Fundamental Analysis, Market Commentary, Market Timing, Recession Forecasting Model, Risk Management, Strategy Development
Tagged aggregate peaktrough model, aggregate recession model, diffusion index, logit model, probit model, recession forecast, recession forecast March 2018, Recession Slack Index, Trader Edge
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Recession Model Forecast: 02012018
The following article updates the diffusion index, recession slack index, aggregate recession model, and aggregate peaktrough model through January 2018. The current 21variable model has a diverse set of explanatory variables and is quite robust. Each of the explanatory variables … Continue reading
Posted in Economic Indicators, Fundamental Analysis, Market Commentary, Market Timing, Recession Forecasting Model, Risk Management
Tagged aggregate peaktrough model, aggregate recession model, diffusion index, logit model, probit model, recession forecast, recession forecast January 2018, Recession Slack Index, Trader Edge
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Recession Model Forecast: 01012018
The following article updates the diffusion index, recession slack index, aggregate recession model, and aggregate peaktrough model through December 2017. The current 21variable model has a diverse set of explanatory variables and is quite robust. Each of the explanatory variables … Continue reading
Posted in Economic Indicators, Fundamental Analysis, Market Commentary, Market Timing, Recession Forecasting Model, Risk Management
Tagged aggregate peaktrough model, aggregate recession model, diffusion index, logit model, probit model, recession forecast, recession forecast December 2017, Recession Slack Index, Trader Edge
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Recession Model Forecast: 09012018
The following article updates the diffusion index, recession slack index, aggregate recession model, and aggregate peaktrough model through August 2018. The current 21variable model has a diverse set of explanatory variables and is quite robust. Each of the explanatory variables … Continue reading →