Tag Archives: aggregate recession model

February Recession Model Forecast a Surprise

The following article updates the diffusion index, recession slack index, aggregate recession model, and aggregate peak-trough model through February 2013.

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U.S. Recession Risk Still Low in January

The following article updates the diffusion index, recession slack index, aggregate recession model, and aggregate peak-trough model through January 2013. If you are new to Trader Edge and would like some additional background on the development of the Trader Edge … Continue reading

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Posted in Economic Indicators, Fundamental Analysis, Market Timing, Recession Forecasting Model | Tagged , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment

U.S. Recession Risk Drops Sharply in December

The following article updates the diffusion index, recession slack index, aggregate recession model, and aggregate peak-trough model through December 2012. If you are new to Trader Edge and would like some additional background on the development of the Trader Edge … Continue reading

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Posted in Economic Indicators, Market Commentary, Market Timing, Recession Forecasting Model | Tagged , , , , , , , , | 5 Comments