Brian Johnson’s New In-Depth Options Article
OIS Universal Filter E-Subscription
Brian Johnson’s In-Depth Option’s Article
Brian Johnson’s 2nd Options Book Now Available
Brian Johnson’s Book: 40 5-Star Amazon Reviews
Trading Dominion PMTT Affiliate
OptionSlam Affiliate
OptionVue Affiliate
Alta5 Affiliate
CSI Market Data Affiliate
TASC Affiliate
Author’s LinkedIn Profile
Tag Archives: Trader Edge
Recession Model Forecast: 02-01-2020
I made a number of significant improvements to the recession model in January of 2020. If you missed the January recession model post, or if you would like to review the improvements to the models, please revisit the Recession Model … Continue reading
Posted in Economic Indicators, Fundamental Analysis, Market Commentary, Market Timing, Recession Forecasting Model, Risk Management, Strategy Development
Tagged aggregate peak-trough model, aggregate recession model, diffusion index, logit model, probit model, recession forecast, recession forecast Januuary 2020, Recession Slack Index, Trader Edge
Leave a comment
Recession Model Forecast: 01-01-2020
Before I update the recession forecast, I want to share some new developments. First, I have decided not to return to teach in the MBA program at Carolina next year. I had hoped that teaching part-time would still allow me … Continue reading
Posted in Economic Indicators, Fundamental Analysis, Market Commentary, Market Timing, Recession Forecasting Model, Risk Management, Strategy Development
Tagged aggregate peak-trough model, aggregate recession model, diffusion index, logit model, probit model, recession forecast, recession forecast December 2020, Recession Slack Index, Trader Edge
Leave a comment
Recession Model Forecast: 12-01-2019
The following article updates the diffusion indices, recession slack index, aggregate recession model, and aggregate peak-trough model through November 2019. The current 26-variable model has a diverse set of explanatory variables and is quite robust. Each of the explanatory variables … Continue reading
Posted in Economic Indicators, Fundamental Analysis, Market Commentary, Market Timing, Recession Forecasting Model, Risk Management, Strategy Development
Tagged aggregate peak-trough model, aggregate recession model, diffusion index, logit model, probit model, recession forecast, recession forecast November 2019, Recession Slack Index, Trader Edge
Leave a comment
Recession Model Forecast: 11-01-2019
The following article updates the diffusion indices, recession slack index, aggregate recession model, and aggregate peak-trough model through October 2019. The current 26-variable model has a diverse set of explanatory variables and is quite robust. Each of the explanatory variables … Continue reading
Posted in Economic Indicators, Fundamental Analysis, Market Commentary, Market Timing, Recession Forecasting Model, Risk Management, Strategy Development
Tagged aggregate peak-trough model, aggregate recession model, diffusion index, logit model, probit model, recession forecast, recession forecast October 2019, Recession Slack Index, Trader Edge
Leave a comment
Recession Model Forecast: 10-01-2019
The following article updates the diffusion indices, recession slack index, aggregate recession model, and aggregate peak-trough model through September 2019. The current 26-variable model has a diverse set of explanatory variables and is quite robust. Each of the explanatory variables … Continue reading
Posted in Economic Indicators, Fundamental Analysis, Market Commentary, Market Timing, Recession Forecasting Model, Risk Management, Strategy Development
Tagged aggregate peak-trough model, aggregate recession model, diffusion index, logit model, probit model, recession forecast, recession forecast September 2019, Recession Slack Index, Trader Edge
Leave a comment
Recession Model Forecast: 09-01-2019
As I mentioned last month, I will be teaching the MBA derivatives class again for the University of North Carolina’s Kenan-Flagler Business School (KFBS). I reduced my teaching schedule this year to a single MBA derivatives class, which begins next … Continue reading
Posted in Economic Indicators, Fundamental Analysis, Market Commentary, Market Timing, Recession Forecasting Model, Risk Management, Strategy Development
Tagged aggregate peak-trough model, aggregate recession model, diffusion index, logit model, probit model, recession forecast, recession forecast August 2019, Recession Slack Index, Trader Edge
Leave a comment
Recession Model Forecast: 08-01-2019
In addition to my full-time proprietary trading and research efforts, I have been teaching part-time as a Professor of the Practice at University of North Carolina’s Kenan-Flagler Business School. I taught four courses in the 2018-2019 academic year: one full-year … Continue reading
Posted in Economic Indicators, Fundamental Analysis, Market Commentary, Market Timing, Recession Forecasting Model, Risk Management, Strategy Development
Tagged aggregate peak-trough model, aggregate recession model, diffusion index, logit model, probit model, recession forecast, recession forecast July 2019, Recession Slack Index, Trader Edge
Leave a comment
Recession Model Forecast: 03-01-2020
Coronavirus Implications Before proceeding with the model results this month, I need to explain how and when the coronavirus (COVID-19) will affect the recession model forecasts. The coronavirus is an unprecedented, discrete, exogenous event that will severely affect the global … Continue reading →