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Tag Archives: Recession Slack Index
Recession Model Forecast: 10012017
The following article updates the diffusion index, recession slack index, aggregate recession model, and aggregate peaktrough model through September 2017. The current 21variable model has a diverse set of explanatory variables and is quite robust. Each of the explanatory variables … Continue reading
Posted in Economic Indicators, Fundamental Analysis, Market Timing, Recession Forecasting Model, Risk Management
Tagged aggregate peaktrough model, aggregate recession model, diffusion index, logit model, probit model, recession forecast, recession forecast September 2017, Recession Slack Index, Trader Edge
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Recession Model Forecast: 08012017
The following article updates the diffusion index, recession slack index, aggregate recession model, and aggregate peaktrough model through July 2017. The current 21variable model has a diverse set of explanatory variables and is quite robust. Each of the explanatory variables … Continue reading
Posted in Economic Indicators, Fundamental Analysis, Market Commentary, Market Timing, Recession Forecasting Model, Risk Management
Tagged aggregate peaktrough model, aggregate recession model, diffusion index, logit model, probit model, recession forecast, recession forecast July 2017, Recession Slack Index, Trader Edge
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Recession Model Forecast: 07012017
The following article updates the diffusion index, recession slack index, aggregate recession model, and aggregate peaktrough model through June 2017. The current 21variable model has a diverse set of explanatory variables and is quite robust. Each of the explanatory variables … Continue reading
Posted in Economic Indicators, Fundamental Analysis, Market Commentary, Market Timing, Recession Forecasting Model, Risk Management
Tagged aggregate peaktrough model, aggregate recession model, diffusion index, logit model, probit model, recession forecast, recession forecast June 2017, Recession Slack Index, Trader Edge
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Recession Model Forecast: 06012017
The following article updates the diffusion index, recession slack index, aggregate recession model, and aggregate peaktrough model through May 2017. The current 21variable model has a diverse set of explanatory variables and is quite robust. Each of the explanatory variables … Continue reading
Posted in Economic Indicators, Fundamental Analysis, Market Commentary, Market Timing, Recession Forecasting Model, Risk Management
Tagged aggregate peaktrough model, aggregate recession model, diffusion index, logit model, probit model, recession forecast, recession forecast May 2017, Recession Slack Index, Trader Edge
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Recession Model Forecast: 05012017
The following article updates the diffusion index, recession slack index, aggregate recession model, and aggregate peaktrough model through April 2017. The current 21variable model has a diverse set of explanatory variables and is quite robust. Each of the explanatory variables … Continue reading
Posted in Economic Indicators, Fundamental Analysis, Market Commentary, Market Timing, Recession Forecasting Model, Risk Management
Tagged aggregate peaktrough model, aggregate recession model, diffusion index, logit model, probit model, recession forecast, recession forecast April 2017, Recession Slack Index, Trader Edge
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Recession Model Forecast: 04012017
The following article updates the diffusion index, recession slack index, aggregate recession model, and aggregate peaktrough model through March 2017. The current 21variable model has a diverse set of explanatory variables and is quite robust. Each of the explanatory variables … Continue reading
Posted in Economic Indicators, Fundamental Analysis, Market Timing, Recession Forecasting Model, Risk Management
Tagged aggregate peaktrough model, aggregate recession model, diffusion index, logit model, probit model, recession forecast, recession forecast March 2017, Recession Slack Index, Trader Edge
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Recession Model Forecast: 03012017
The following article updates the diffusion index, recession slack index, aggregate recession model, and aggregate peaktrough model through February 2017. Throughout 2015, I added a number of new economic and marketbased variables with very strong explanatory power to the recession … Continue reading
Posted in Economic Indicators, Fundamental Analysis, Market Timing, Recession Forecasting Model, Risk Management
Tagged aggregate peaktrough model, aggregate recession model, diffusion index, logit model, probit model, recession forecast, recession forecast February 2017, Recession Slack Index, Trader Edge
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Recession Model Forecast: 09012017
The following article updates the diffusion index, recession slack index, aggregate recession model, and aggregate peaktrough model through August 2017. The current 21variable model has a diverse set of explanatory variables and is quite robust. Each of the explanatory variables … Continue reading →