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Tag Archives: neural network
Q1 2013 GDP Model Forecast Below Consensus Estimate
In January, I introduced a new aggregate neural network model that I developed to forecast the seasonally-adjusted, annualized, real rate of change in U.S. GDP. The GDP growth rate is only reported quarterly, but the model provides a new rolling … Continue reading
GDP Model Forecast Improves in March
In January, I introduced a new aggregate neural network model that I developed to forecast the seasonally-adjusted, annualized, real rate of change in U.S. GDP. The GDP growth rate is only reported quarterly, but the model provides a new rolling … Continue reading
GDP Model Suggests Faster Growth
In January, I introduced a new aggregate neural network model that I developed to forecast the seasonally-adjusted, annualized, real rate of change in U.S. GDP. The GDP growth rate is only reported quarterly, but the model provides a rolling 3-month … Continue reading
Real GDP Growth Negative in Q4 2012
Earlier this week, I posted the Q4 2012 GDP forecast from a new aggregate neural network model. The model forecast was +2.2%, but the first official estimate of GDP growth in Q4 2012 was only -0.1%, which was the first … Continue reading
New Neural Network Model – Q4 2012 GDP Forecast
The following article introduces a new aggregate neural network model that was designed to forecast the seasonally-adjusted, annualized, real rate of change in U.S. GDP. I have been doing recession research and constructing recession models for the past several months, … Continue reading