Tag Archives: neural network

Q1 2013 GDP Model Forecast Below Consensus Estimate

Posted on April 25, 2013 by

In January, I introduced a new aggregate neural network model that I developed to forecast the seasonally-adjusted, annualized, real rate of change in U.S. GDP.  The GDP growth rate is only reported quarterly, but the model provides a new rolling … Continue reading →

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GDP Model Forecast Improves in March

Posted on April 21, 2013 by

In January, I introduced a new aggregate neural network model that I developed to forecast the seasonally-adjusted, annualized, real rate of change in U.S. GDP.  The GDP growth rate is only reported quarterly, but the model provides a new rolling … Continue reading →

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GDP Model Suggests Faster Growth

Posted on March 21, 2013 by

In January, I introduced a new aggregate neural network model that I developed to forecast the seasonally-adjusted, annualized, real rate of change in U.S. GDP.  The GDP growth rate is only reported quarterly, but the model provides a rolling 3-month … Continue reading →

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Posted in Economic Indicators, Fundamental Analysis, GDP Forecasting Model, Market Timing | Tagged , , , , , | 1 Comment

Real GDP Growth Negative in Q4 2012

Posted on January 30, 2013 by

Earlier this week, I posted the Q4 2012 GDP forecast from a new aggregate neural network model.  The model forecast was +2.2%, but the first official estimate of GDP growth in Q4 2012 was only -0.1%, which was the first … Continue reading →

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New Neural Network Model – Q4 2012 GDP Forecast

Posted on January 27, 2013 by

The following article introduces a new aggregate neural network model that was designed to forecast the seasonally-adjusted, annualized, real rate of change in U.S. GDP. I have been doing recession research and constructing recession models for the past several months, … Continue reading →

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Posted in Fundamental Analysis, GDP Forecasting Model | Tagged , , , , , , | 4 Comments