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Tag Archives: recession forecast June 2014
After personally suffering the costly effects of ECRI’s notoriously ill-advised recession call in 2012, I embarked on the journey to create my own recession models. Since developing the initial models in late 2012, I have published the model forecasts shortly … Continue reading
The following article updates the diffusion index, recession slack index, aggregate recession model, and aggregate peak-trough model through June 2014.