Category Archives: Economic Indicators

Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) Model Forecast – August 2014

Posted on September 4, 2014 by

This article presents the Trader Edge aggregate neural network model forecast for the August 2014 non-farm payroll data, which is scheduled to be released tomorrow morning at 8:30 AM EDT.

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Posted in Economic Indicators, Fundamental Analysis, Market Timing, NFP Forecasting Model | Tagged , , , , , , | 2 Comments

Recession Model Forecast 08-01-2014

Posted on August 7, 2014 by

The following article updates the diffusion index, recession slack index, aggregate recession model, and aggregate peak-trough model through July 2014. Please note that two new explanatory variables were added to the Trader Edge Recession Models in July.  For more information, … Continue reading →

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Posted in Economic Indicators, Market Timing, Recession Forecasting Model | Tagged , , , , , , , , | 1 Comment

Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) Model Forecast – July 2014

Posted on July 31, 2014 by

This article presents the Trader Edge aggregate neural network model forecast for the July 2014 non-farm payroll data, which is scheduled to be released tomorrow morning at 8:30 AM EDT.

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Two New Improvements to Trader Edge Recession Models

Posted on July 17, 2014 by

After personally suffering the costly effects of ECRI’s notoriously ill-advised recession call in 2012, I embarked on the journey to create my own recession models. Since developing the initial models in late 2012, I have published the model forecasts shortly … Continue reading →

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Posted in Economic Indicators, Fundamental Analysis, Market Timing, Recession Forecasting Model | Tagged , , , , , , , , | 15 Comments

Recession Model Forecast 07-01-2014

Posted on July 10, 2014 by

The following article updates the diffusion index, recession slack index, aggregate recession model, and aggregate peak-trough model through June 2014.

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Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) Model Forecast – June 2014

Posted on July 2, 2014 by

This article presents the Trader Edge aggregate neural network model forecast for the June 2014 non-farm payroll data, which is scheduled to be released tomorrow morning at 8:30 AM EDT — one day early due to the fourth of July … Continue reading →

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Recession Model Forecast 06-01-2014

Posted on June 12, 2014 by

The following article updates the diffusion index, recession slack index, aggregate recession model, and aggregate peak-trough model through May 2014.

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Posted in Economic Indicators, Fundamental Analysis, Market Timing, Recession Forecasting Model | Tagged , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment

Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) Model Forecast – May 2014

Posted on June 5, 2014 by

This article presents the Trader Edge aggregate neural network model forecast for the May 2014 non-farm payroll data, which is scheduled to be released tomorrow morning at 8:30 AM EDT.

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Posted in Economic Indicators, Fundamental Analysis, Market Timing, NFP Forecasting Model | Tagged , , , , , , | Leave a comment