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Category Archives: Fundamental Analysis
Recession Model Forecast 03-01-2015
The following article updates the diffusion index, recession slack index, aggregate recession model, and aggregate peak-trough model through February 2015. I read an article last month about a market-based metric that was indicating a recession. I tested the new indicator … Continue reading
Posted in Economic Indicators, Fundamental Analysis, Market Timing, Recession Forecasting Model
Tagged aggregate peak-trough model, aggregate recession model, diffusion index, logit model, probit model, recession forecast, recession forecast February 2015, Recession Slack Index, Trader Edge
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Recession Model Foreast 02-01-2015
The following article updates the diffusion index, recession slack index, aggregate recession model, and aggregate peak-trough model through January 2015. Please note that two new explanatory variables were recently added to the Trader Edge Recession Models and one explanatory variable … Continue reading
Posted in Economic Indicators, Fundamental Analysis, Market Timing, Recession Forecasting Model
Tagged aggregate peak-trough model, aggregate recession model, diffusion index, logit model, probit model, recession forecast, recession forecast December 2014, Recession Slack Index, Trader Edge
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Recession Model Forecast 01-01-2015
The following article updates the diffusion index, recession slack index, aggregate recession model, and aggregate peak-trough model through December 2014. Please note that two new explanatory variables were added to the Trader Edge Recession Models in July and one explanatory … Continue reading
Posted in Economic Indicators, Fundamental Analysis, Market Timing, Recession Forecasting Model
Tagged aggregate peak-trough model, aggregate recession model, diffusion index, logit model, probit model, recession forecast, recession forecast December 2014, Recession Slack Index, Trader Edge
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Recession Model Forecast 12-01-2014
The following article updates the diffusion index, recession slack index, aggregate recession model, and aggregate peak-trough model through November 2014. Please note that two new explanatory variables were added to the Trader Edge Recession Models in July and one explanatory … Continue reading
Posted in Economic Indicators, Fundamental Analysis, Market Timing, Recession Forecasting Model
Tagged aggregate peak-trough model, aggregate recession model, diffusion index, logit model, probit model, recession forecast, recession forecast October 2014, Recession Slack Index, Trader Edge
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Recession Model Forecast 11-01-2014
The following article updates the diffusion index, recession slack index, aggregate recession model, and aggregate peak-trough model through October 2014. Please note that two new explanatory variables were added to the Trader Edge Recession Models in July and one explanatory … Continue reading
Posted in Economic Indicators, Fundamental Analysis, Market Timing, Recession Forecasting Model
Tagged aggregate peak-trough model, aggregate recession model, diffusion index, logit model, probit model, recession forecast, recession forecast October 2014, Recession Slack Index, Trader Edge
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Recession Model Forecast 09-01-2014
The following article updates the diffusion index, recession slack index, aggregate recession model, and aggregate peak-trough model through August 2014. Please note that two new explanatory variables were added to the Trader Edge Recession Models in July and one explanatory … Continue reading
Posted in Economic Indicators, Fundamental Analysis, Market Timing, Recession Forecasting Model
Tagged aggregate peak-trough model, aggregate recession model, diffusion index, logit model, probit model, recession forecast, recession forecast August 2014, Recession Slack Index, Trader Edge
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Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) Model Forecast – August 2014
This article presents the Trader Edge aggregate neural network model forecast for the August 2014 non-farm payroll data, which is scheduled to be released tomorrow morning at 8:30 AM EDT.
Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) Model Forecast – October 2014
This article presents the Trader Edge aggregate neural network model forecast for the October 2014 non-farm payroll data, which is scheduled to be released tomorrow morning at 8:30 AM EST.