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Tag Archives: aggregate peak-trough model
Recession Model Forecast: 10-01-2017
The following article updates the diffusion index, recession slack index, aggregate recession model, and aggregate peak-trough model through September 2017. The current 21-variable model has a diverse set of explanatory variables and is quite robust. Each of the explanatory variables … Continue reading
Posted in Economic Indicators, Fundamental Analysis, Market Timing, Recession Forecasting Model, Risk Management
Tagged aggregate peak-trough model, aggregate recession model, diffusion index, logit model, probit model, recession forecast, recession forecast September 2017, Recession Slack Index, Trader Edge
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Recession Model Forecast: 08-01-2017
The following article updates the diffusion index, recession slack index, aggregate recession model, and aggregate peak-trough model through July 2017. The current 21-variable model has a diverse set of explanatory variables and is quite robust. Each of the explanatory variables … Continue reading
Posted in Economic Indicators, Fundamental Analysis, Market Commentary, Market Timing, Recession Forecasting Model, Risk Management
Tagged aggregate peak-trough model, aggregate recession model, diffusion index, logit model, probit model, recession forecast, recession forecast July 2017, Recession Slack Index, Trader Edge
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Recession Model Forecast: 07-01-2017
The following article updates the diffusion index, recession slack index, aggregate recession model, and aggregate peak-trough model through June 2017. The current 21-variable model has a diverse set of explanatory variables and is quite robust. Each of the explanatory variables … Continue reading
Posted in Economic Indicators, Fundamental Analysis, Market Commentary, Market Timing, Recession Forecasting Model, Risk Management
Tagged aggregate peak-trough model, aggregate recession model, diffusion index, logit model, probit model, recession forecast, recession forecast June 2017, Recession Slack Index, Trader Edge
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Recession Model Forecast: 06-01-2017
The following article updates the diffusion index, recession slack index, aggregate recession model, and aggregate peak-trough model through May 2017. The current 21-variable model has a diverse set of explanatory variables and is quite robust. Each of the explanatory variables … Continue reading
Posted in Economic Indicators, Fundamental Analysis, Market Commentary, Market Timing, Recession Forecasting Model, Risk Management
Tagged aggregate peak-trough model, aggregate recession model, diffusion index, logit model, probit model, recession forecast, recession forecast May 2017, Recession Slack Index, Trader Edge
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Recession Model Forecast: 05-01-2017
The following article updates the diffusion index, recession slack index, aggregate recession model, and aggregate peak-trough model through April 2017. The current 21-variable model has a diverse set of explanatory variables and is quite robust. Each of the explanatory variables … Continue reading
Posted in Economic Indicators, Fundamental Analysis, Market Commentary, Market Timing, Recession Forecasting Model, Risk Management
Tagged aggregate peak-trough model, aggregate recession model, diffusion index, logit model, probit model, recession forecast, recession forecast April 2017, Recession Slack Index, Trader Edge
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Recession Model Forecast: 04-01-2017
The following article updates the diffusion index, recession slack index, aggregate recession model, and aggregate peak-trough model through March 2017. The current 21-variable model has a diverse set of explanatory variables and is quite robust. Each of the explanatory variables … Continue reading
Posted in Economic Indicators, Fundamental Analysis, Market Timing, Recession Forecasting Model, Risk Management
Tagged aggregate peak-trough model, aggregate recession model, diffusion index, logit model, probit model, recession forecast, recession forecast March 2017, Recession Slack Index, Trader Edge
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Recession Model Forecast: 03-01-2017
The following article updates the diffusion index, recession slack index, aggregate recession model, and aggregate peak-trough model through February 2017. Throughout 2015, I added a number of new economic and market-based variables with very strong explanatory power to the recession … Continue reading
Posted in Economic Indicators, Fundamental Analysis, Market Timing, Recession Forecasting Model, Risk Management
Tagged aggregate peak-trough model, aggregate recession model, diffusion index, logit model, probit model, recession forecast, recession forecast February 2017, Recession Slack Index, Trader Edge
Leave a comment
Recession Model Forecast: 09-01-2017
The following article updates the diffusion index, recession slack index, aggregate recession model, and aggregate peak-trough model through August 2017. The current 21-variable model has a diverse set of explanatory variables and is quite robust. Each of the explanatory variables … Continue reading →