Category Archives: Risk Management

Brian Johnson’s New Options Publication Now Available

The Kindle version ($9.99) of my new in-depth (100+ page) article “Option Strategy Hedging & Risk Management”, is now available on Amazon. The print version ($14.99) should be available on Amazon in approximately one to two weeks. Option Strategy Hedging … Continue reading

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No Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) Model Post this Month

I finished the VIX futures project and I am trading the new hedged VIX futures strategy. However, I am now working on a new in-depth options article and do not anticipate releasing new Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) model posts until after … Continue reading

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Recession Model Forecast: 02-01-2017

The following article updates the diffusion index, recession slack index, aggregate recession model, and aggregate peak-trough model through January 2017. Throughout 2015, I added a number of new economic and market-based variables with very strong explanatory power to the recession … Continue reading

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Recession Model Forecast: 01-01-2017

The following article updates the diffusion index, recession slack index, aggregate recession model, and aggregate peak-trough model through December 2016. Throughout 2015, I added a number of new economic and market-based variables with very strong explanatory power to the recession … Continue reading

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Recession Model Forecast: 12-01-2016

The following article updates the diffusion index, recession slack index, aggregate recession model, and aggregate peak-trough model through November 2016. Throughout 2015, I added a number of new economic and market-based variables with very strong explanatory power to the recession … Continue reading

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Amazon E-Book Image Problem Resolved

Some readers experienced problems displaying e-book images in my new in-depth (100+ page) article, Option Income Strategy Trade Filters: An In-Depth Article Demonstrating the Use of Trade Filters to Enhance Returns and Reduce Risk. I finally got a response from … Continue reading

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Posted in OIS Universal Filter, Option Income Strategy Trade Filters, Options, Recommended Reading, Risk Management, Strategy Development | Tagged , , , | 2 Comments

Recession Model Forecast: 11-01-2016

The following article updates the diffusion index, recession slack index, aggregate recession model, and aggregate peak-trough model through October 2016. Throughout 2015, I added a number of new economic and market-based variables with very strong explanatory power to the recession … Continue reading

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Posted in Economic Indicators, Fundamental Analysis, Market Commentary, Market Timing, Recession Forecasting Model, Risk Management | Tagged , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment

Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) Model Forecast – October 2016

This article presents the Trader Edge aggregate neural network model forecast for the October 2016 non-farm payroll data, which is scheduled to be released tomorrow morning at 8:30 AM EDT.

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Posted in Economic Indicators, Fundamental Analysis, Market Commentary, Market Timing, NFP Forecasting Model, Risk Management | Tagged , , , , , , | Leave a comment