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Tag Archives: probit model
Recession Model Forecast 09-01-2014
The following article updates the diffusion index, recession slack index, aggregate recession model, and aggregate peak-trough model through August 2014. Please note that two new explanatory variables were added to the Trader Edge Recession Models in July and one explanatory … Continue reading
Posted in Economic Indicators, Fundamental Analysis, Market Timing, Recession Forecasting Model
Tagged aggregate peak-trough model, aggregate recession model, diffusion index, logit model, probit model, recession forecast, recession forecast August 2014, Recession Slack Index, Trader Edge
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Recession Model Forecast 08-01-2014
The following article updates the diffusion index, recession slack index, aggregate recession model, and aggregate peak-trough model through July 2014. Please note that two new explanatory variables were added to the Trader Edge Recession Models in July. For more information, … Continue reading
Two New Improvements to Trader Edge Recession Models
After personally suffering the costly effects of ECRI’s notoriously ill-advised recession call in 2012, I embarked on the journey to create my own recession models. Since developing the initial models in late 2012, I have published the model forecasts shortly … Continue reading
Recession Model Forecast 07-01-2014
The following article updates the diffusion index, recession slack index, aggregate recession model, and aggregate peak-trough model through June 2014.
Posted in Economic Indicators, Fundamental Analysis, Market Timing, Recession Forecasting Model
Tagged aggregate peak-trough model, aggregate recession model, diffusion index, logit model, probit model, recession forecast, recession forecast June 2014, Recession Slack Index, Trader Edge
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Recession Model Forecast 06-01-2014
The following article updates the diffusion index, recession slack index, aggregate recession model, and aggregate peak-trough model through May 2014.
Posted in Economic Indicators, Fundamental Analysis, Market Timing, Recession Forecasting Model
Tagged aggregate peak-trough model, aggregate recession model, diffusion index, logit model, probit model, recession forecast, recession forecast May 2014, Recession Slack Index, Trader Edge
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Recession Model Forecast 05-01-2014
The following article updates the diffusion index, recession slack index, aggregate recession model, and aggregate peak-trough model through April 2014.
Posted in Economic Indicators, Fundamental Analysis, Market Timing, Recession Forecasting Model
Tagged aggregate peak-trough model, aggregate recession model, diffusion index, logit model, probit model, recession forecast, recession forecast April 2014, Recession Slack Index, Trader Edge
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Recession Model Forecast 04-01-2014
The following article updates the diffusion index, recession slack index, aggregate recession model, and aggregate peak-trough model through March 2014.
Posted in Economic Indicators, Fundamental Analysis, Market Timing, Recession Forecasting Model
Tagged aggregate peak-trough model, aggregate recession model, diffusion index, logit model, probit model, recession forecast, recession forecast March 2014, Recession Slack Index, Trader Edge
Leave a comment
Recession Model Forecast 10-01-2014
The following article updates the diffusion index, recession slack index, aggregate recession model, and aggregate peak-trough model through September 2014. Please note that two new explanatory variables were added to the Trader Edge Recession Models in July and one explanatory … Continue reading →