Tag Archives: recession forecast June 2016

Recession Model Forecast: 07-01-2016

The following article updates the diffusion index, recession slack index, aggregate recession model, and aggregate peak-trough model through June 2016. Throughout 2015, I added a number of new economic and market-based variables with very strong explanatory power to the recession … Continue reading

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Posted in Economic Indicators, Market Commentary, Market Timing, Recession Forecasting Model, Risk Management | Tagged , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment