Tag Archives: recession forecast

Recession Model Forecast 03-01-2015

The following article updates the diffusion index, recession slack index, aggregate recession model, and aggregate peak-trough model through February 2015. I read an article last month about a market-based metric that was indicating a recession. I tested the new indicator … Continue reading

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Recession Model Foreast 02-01-2015

The following article updates the diffusion index, recession slack index, aggregate recession model, and aggregate peak-trough model through January 2015. Please note that two new explanatory variables were recently added to the Trader Edge Recession Models and one explanatory variable … Continue reading

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Recession Model Forecast 01-01-2015

The following article updates the diffusion index, recession slack index, aggregate recession model, and aggregate peak-trough model through December 2014. Please note that two new explanatory variables were added to the Trader Edge Recession Models in July and one explanatory … Continue reading

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Recession Model Forecast 12-01-2014

The following article updates the diffusion index, recession slack index, aggregate recession model, and aggregate peak-trough model through November 2014. Please note that two new explanatory variables were added to the Trader Edge Recession Models in July and one explanatory … Continue reading

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Recession Model Forecast 11-01-2014

The following article updates the diffusion index, recession slack index, aggregate recession model, and aggregate peak-trough model through October 2014. Please note that two new explanatory variables were added to the Trader Edge Recession Models in July and one explanatory … Continue reading

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Recession Model Forecast 10-01-2014

The following article updates the diffusion index, recession slack index, aggregate recession model, and aggregate peak-trough model through September 2014. Please note that two new explanatory variables were added to the Trader Edge Recession Models in July and one explanatory … Continue reading

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Recession Model Forecast 09-01-2014

The following article updates the diffusion index, recession slack index, aggregate recession model, and aggregate peak-trough model through August 2014. Please note that two new explanatory variables were added to the Trader Edge Recession Models in July and one explanatory … Continue reading

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Recession Model Forecast 08-01-2014

The following article updates the diffusion index, recession slack index, aggregate recession model, and aggregate peak-trough model through July 2014. Please note that two new explanatory variables were added to the Trader Edge Recession Models in July.  For more information, … Continue reading

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