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- Brian Johnson on Trading Option Volatility Featured in Stocks & Commodities Magazine
- John C on Recession Model Forecast: 10-1-2022
- Recession Model Forecast: 10-1-2022 | Trader Edge on New AI Volatility Edge Platform
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- John C on Recession Model Forecast: 03-01-2022
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Author Archives: Brian Johnson
Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) Model Forecast – March 2015
This article presents the Trader Edge aggregate neural network model forecast for the March 2015 non-farm payroll data, which is scheduled to be released tomorrow morning at 8:30 AM EST.
03-31-2015 AAR Strategy Update Posted
The March 31, 2015 AAR Strategy update is now available on the AAR Subscribers page. If you are not currently a subscriber and would like to learn more about the strategy, there is a detailed description on the AAR Strategy … Continue reading
Posted in Asset Allocation Rotational (AAR) Strategy, Market Timing, Relative Strength, Risk Management, Strategy Development, Technical Analysis
Tagged asset allocation, asset allocation rotational strategy, asset allocation strategy, Ivy League Portfolio, rotatinal strategy, trade, Trader Edge
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No New Posts Until April
I am working on the final edit of my new (second) options book. I will post an update here as soon as the new book is available. There will be print and Kindle versions. Due to the demands of the … Continue reading
Posted in Uncategorized
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Recession Model Forecast 03-01-2015
The following article updates the diffusion index, recession slack index, aggregate recession model, and aggregate peak-trough model through February 2015. I read an article last month about a market-based metric that was indicating a recession. I tested the new indicator … Continue reading
Posted in Economic Indicators, Fundamental Analysis, Market Timing, Recession Forecasting Model
Tagged aggregate peak-trough model, aggregate recession model, diffusion index, logit model, probit model, recession forecast, recession forecast February 2015, Recession Slack Index, Trader Edge
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02-27-2015 AAR Strategy Update Posted
The February 27, 2015 AAR Strategy update is now available on the AAR Subscribers page. If you are not currently a subscriber and would like to learn more about the strategy, there is a detailed description on the AAR Strategy … Continue reading
Posted in Asset Allocation Rotational (AAR) Strategy, Market Timing, Relative Strength, Risk Management, Strategy Development, Technical Analysis
Tagged asset allocation, asset allocation rotational strategy, asset allocation strategy, Ivy League Portfolio, rotatinal strategy, trade, Trader Edge
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No Post This Week
We got hit by an ice storm and are currently without power. As a result, there will be no post this week. Brian Johnson
Posted in Uncategorized
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Recession Model Foreast 02-01-2015
The following article updates the diffusion index, recession slack index, aggregate recession model, and aggregate peak-trough model through January 2015. Please note that two new explanatory variables were recently added to the Trader Edge Recession Models and one explanatory variable … Continue reading
Posted in Economic Indicators, Fundamental Analysis, Market Timing, Recession Forecasting Model
Tagged aggregate peak-trough model, aggregate recession model, diffusion index, logit model, probit model, recession forecast, recession forecast December 2014, Recession Slack Index, Trader Edge
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Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) Model Forecast – February 2015
This article presents the Trader Edge aggregate neural network model forecast for the February 2015 non-farm payroll data, which is scheduled to be released tomorrow morning at 8:30 AM EST.