Category Archives: Strategy Development

Recession Model Forecast: 02-01-2019

The following article updates the diffusion index, recession slack index, aggregate recession model, and aggregate peak-trough model through January 2019. The current 21-variable model has a diverse set of explanatory variables and is quite robust. Each of the explanatory variables … Continue reading

Share
Posted in Economic Indicators, Market Commentary, Market Timing, Recession Forecasting Model, Risk Management, Strategy Development | Tagged , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment

Recession Model Forecast: 11-01-2018

The following article updates the diffusion index, recession slack index, aggregate recession model, and aggregate peak-trough model through October 2018. The current 21-variable model has a diverse set of explanatory variables and is quite robust. Each of the explanatory variables … Continue reading

Share
Posted in Economic Indicators, Fundamental Analysis, Market Timing, Recession Forecasting Model, Risk Management, Strategy Development | Tagged , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment

Recession Model Forecast: 08-01-2018

The following article updates the diffusion index, recession slack index, aggregate recession model, and aggregate peak-trough model through July 2018. The current 21-variable model has a diverse set of explanatory variables and is quite robust. Each of the explanatory variables … Continue reading

Share
Posted in Economic Indicators, Fundamental Analysis, Market Commentary, Market Timing, Recession Forecasting Model, Risk Management, Strategy Development | Tagged , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment

Recession Model Forecast: 07-01-2018

The following article updates the diffusion index, recession slack index, aggregate recession model, and aggregate peak-trough model through June 2018. The current 21-variable model has a diverse set of explanatory variables and is quite robust. Each of the explanatory variables … Continue reading

Share
Posted in Economic Indicators, Fundamental Analysis, Market Commentary, Market Timing, Recession Forecasting Model, Risk Management, Strategy Development | Tagged , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment

Recession Model Forecast: 04-01-2018

The following article updates the diffusion index, recession slack index, aggregate recession model, and aggregate peak-trough model through March 2018. The current 21-variable model has a diverse set of explanatory variables and is quite robust. Each of the explanatory variables … Continue reading

Share
Posted in Economic Indicators, Fundamental Analysis, Market Commentary, Market Timing, Recession Forecasting Model, Risk Management, Strategy Development | Tagged , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment

Recession Model Forecast: 03-01-2018

The following article updates the diffusion index, recession slack index, aggregate recession model, and aggregate peak-trough model through February 2018. The current 21-variable model has a diverse set of explanatory variables and is quite robust. Each of the explanatory variables … Continue reading

Share
Posted in Economic Indicators, Fundamental Analysis, Market Timing, Recession Forecasting Model, Risk Management, Strategy Development | Tagged , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment

Capital Discussions Group Presentation Video

Below is the recorded video of an online presentation that I gave to the Capital Discussions group. The presentation demonstrates how to use the spreadsheet tools that accompany my new in-depth (100+ page) article: Option Strategy Hedging & Risk Management: … Continue reading

Share
Posted in Futures, In-Depth Article, Options, Recommended Reading, Risk Management, Strategy Development, Video | Tagged , , , , , , | Leave a comment

Option Strategy Hedging & Risk Management: Video 2

The following is the second in a series of videos that demonstrate how to use the spreadsheet tools that accompany my new in-depth (100+ page) article: Option Strategy Hedging & Risk Management: An In-Depth Article Introducing an Interactive Analytical Framework … Continue reading

Share
Posted in Futures, Options, Risk Management, Strategy Development, Video | Tagged , , , , , , , | Leave a comment