Category Archives: Strategy Development

Recession Model Forecast: 08-01-2018

The following article updates the diffusion index, recession slack index, aggregate recession model, and aggregate peak-trough model through July 2018. The current 21-variable model has a diverse set of explanatory variables and is quite robust. Each of the explanatory variables … Continue reading

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Recession Model Forecast: 07-01-2018

The following article updates the diffusion index, recession slack index, aggregate recession model, and aggregate peak-trough model through June 2018. The current 21-variable model has a diverse set of explanatory variables and is quite robust. Each of the explanatory variables … Continue reading

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Posted in Economic Indicators, Fundamental Analysis, Market Commentary, Market Timing, Recession Forecasting Model, Risk Management, Strategy Development | Tagged , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment

Recession Model Forecast: 04-01-2018

The following article updates the diffusion index, recession slack index, aggregate recession model, and aggregate peak-trough model through March 2018. The current 21-variable model has a diverse set of explanatory variables and is quite robust. Each of the explanatory variables … Continue reading

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Posted in Economic Indicators, Fundamental Analysis, Market Commentary, Market Timing, Recession Forecasting Model, Risk Management, Strategy Development | Tagged , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment

Recession Model Forecast: 03-01-2018

The following article updates the diffusion index, recession slack index, aggregate recession model, and aggregate peak-trough model through February 2018. The current 21-variable model has a diverse set of explanatory variables and is quite robust. Each of the explanatory variables … Continue reading

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Posted in Economic Indicators, Fundamental Analysis, Market Timing, Recession Forecasting Model, Risk Management, Strategy Development | Tagged , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment

Capital Discussions Group Presentation Video

Below is the recorded video of an online presentation that I gave to the Capital Discussions group. The presentation demonstrates how to use the spreadsheet tools that accompany my new in-depth (100+ page) article: Option Strategy Hedging & Risk Management: … Continue reading

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Posted in Futures, In-Depth Article, Options, Recommended Reading, Risk Management, Strategy Development, Video | Tagged , , , , , , | Leave a comment

Option Strategy Hedging & Risk Management: Video 2

The following is the second in a series of videos that demonstrate how to use the spreadsheet tools that accompany my new in-depth (100+ page) article: Option Strategy Hedging & Risk Management: An In-Depth Article Introducing an Interactive Analytical Framework … Continue reading

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Brian Johnson’s New Options Publication Now Available

The Kindle version ($9.99) of my new in-depth (100+ page) article “Option Strategy Hedging & Risk Management”, is now available on Amazon. The print version ($14.99) should be available on Amazon in approximately one to two weeks. Option Strategy Hedging … Continue reading

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It’s Earnings Season Again

It is earnings season again, which is one of the best times to exploit earnings-related option pricing anomalies. Option traders are savvy, but Earnings volatility is a difficult concept and it affects every option in the matrix differently.When markets move, … Continue reading

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