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Category Archives: Economic Indicators
Recession Model Forecast 01-01-2014
The following article updates the diffusion index, recession slack index, aggregate recession model, and aggregate peak-trough model through December 2013.
Posted in Economic Indicators, Fundamental Analysis, Market Timing, Recession Forecasting Model
Tagged aggregate peak-trough model, aggregate recession model, diffusion index, logit model, probit model, recession forecast, recession forecast December 2013, Recession Slack Index, Trader Edge
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Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) Forecast – December 2013
This article presents the Trader Edge aggregate neural network model forecast for the December 2013 non-farm payroll data, which is scheduled to be released tomorrow morning at 8:30 AM EST.
Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) Forecast – November 2013
This article presents the Trader Edge aggregate neural network model forecast for the November 2013 non-farm payroll data, which is scheduled to be released tomorrow morning at 8:30 AM EST.
Market Breadth Divergence Update
On Sunday November 17th, I posted an article that identified headwinds for the equity market. I explained that five independent leading indicators all pointed to near-term trouble for equities: a forming divergence in market breadth, an elevated CBOE Skew Index, … Continue reading
Posted in Economic Indicators, Market Breadth, Market Commentary, Market Sentiment, Market Timing, Trade Analysis
Tagged advance decline line, CBOE Skew index, cumulative advance-decline line, divergence, double divergence, gamma weighted SOIR, market breadth, market sentiment, market timing, market top, price-to-sales ratio, put-call ratio, technical analysis, trade, trader
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Five Headwinds for Equities
I typically release new posts on Thursdays, but market conditions justified an accelerated schedule this week. Five independent leading indicators all point to near-term trouble for equities: a forming divergence in market breadth, an elevated CBOE Skew Index, a very … Continue reading
Posted in Economic Indicators, Fundamental Analysis, In-Depth Article, Market Breadth, Market Commentary, Market Sentiment, Market Timing, Technical Analysis
Tagged advance decline line, CBOE Skew index, cumulative advance-decline line, divergence, double divergence, gamma weighted SOIR, market breadth, market sentiment, market timing, market top, price-to-sales ratio, put-call ratio, technical analysis, trade, trader
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Recession Model Forecast 11-01-2013
The following article updates the diffusion index, recession slack index, aggregate recession model, and aggregate peak-trough model through October 2013.
Posted in Economic Indicators, Fundamental Analysis, Market Commentary, Market Timing, Recession Forecasting Model
Tagged aggregate peak-trough model, aggregate recession model, diffusion index, logit model, probit model, recession forecast, recession forecast October 2013, Recession Slack Index, Trader Edge
Leave a comment
Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) Forecast – October 2013
This article presents the Trader Edge aggregate neural network model forecast for the October 2013 non-farm payroll data, which is scheduled to be released tomorrow morning at 8:30 AM EST.
Recession Model Forecast 12-01-2013
The following article updates the diffusion index, recession slack index, aggregate recession model, and aggregate peak-trough model through November 2013.