Category Archives: Fundamental Analysis

Two New Improvements to Trader Edge Recession Models

After personally suffering the costly effects of ECRI’s notoriously ill-advised recession call in 2012, I embarked on the journey to create my own recession models. Since developing the initial models in late 2012, I have published the model forecasts shortly … Continue reading

Share
Posted in Economic Indicators, Fundamental Analysis, Market Timing, Recession Forecasting Model | Tagged , , , , , , , , | 15 Comments

Recession Model Forecast 07-01-2014

The following article updates the diffusion index, recession slack index, aggregate recession model, and aggregate peak-trough model through June 2014.

Share
Posted in Economic Indicators, Fundamental Analysis, Market Timing, Recession Forecasting Model | Tagged , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment

Recession Model Forecast 06-01-2014

The following article updates the diffusion index, recession slack index, aggregate recession model, and aggregate peak-trough model through May 2014.

Share
Posted in Economic Indicators, Fundamental Analysis, Market Timing, Recession Forecasting Model | Tagged , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment

Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) Model Forecast – May 2014

This article presents the Trader Edge aggregate neural network model forecast for the May 2014 non-farm payroll data, which is scheduled to be released tomorrow morning at 8:30 AM EDT.

Share
Posted in Economic Indicators, Fundamental Analysis, Market Timing, NFP Forecasting Model | Tagged , , , , , , | Leave a comment

Recession Model Forecast 05-01-2014

The following article updates the diffusion index, recession slack index, aggregate recession model, and aggregate peak-trough model through April 2014.

Share
Posted in Economic Indicators, Fundamental Analysis, Market Timing, Recession Forecasting Model | Tagged , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment

Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) Model Forecast – April 2014

This article presents the Trader Edge aggregate neural network model forecast for the April 2014 non-farm payroll data, which is scheduled to be released tomorrow morning at 8:30 AM EDT.

Share
Posted in Economic Indicators, Fundamental Analysis, Market Timing, NFP Forecasting Model | Tagged , , , , , , | Leave a comment

Recession Model Forecast 04-01-2014

The following article updates the diffusion index, recession slack index, aggregate recession model, and aggregate peak-trough model through March 2014.

Share
Posted in Economic Indicators, Fundamental Analysis, Market Timing, Recession Forecasting Model | Tagged , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment

Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) Model Forecast – March 2014

This article presents the Trader Edge aggregate neural network model forecast for the March 2014 non-farm payroll data, which is scheduled to be released tomorrow morning at 8:30 AM EDT.

Share
Posted in Economic Indicators, Fundamental Analysis, Market Timing, NFP Forecasting Model | Tagged , , , , , , | 2 Comments