Category Archives: Risk Management

2014 AAR Strategy Results

The AAR strategy is a conservative, long-only, asset allocation strategy that rotates monthly among five large asset classes: large-cap U.S. stocks, developed country stocks in Europe and Asia, emerging market stocks, U.S. Treasury Notes, and commodities. It is one of … Continue reading

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Posted in Asset Allocation Rotational (AAR) Strategy, Market Timing, Relative Strength, Risk Management, Strategy Development, Technical Analysis | Tagged , , , , , , | 2 Comments

12-31-2014 AAR Strategy Update Posted

The December 31, 2014 AAR Strategy update is now available on the AAR Subscribers page.  If you are not currently a subscriber and would like to learn more about the strategy, there is a detailed description on the AAR Strategy … Continue reading

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Posted in Asset Allocation Rotational (AAR) Strategy, Market Timing, Relative Strength, Risk Management, Strategy Development, Technical Analysis | Tagged , , , , , , | 2 Comments

11-28-2014 AAR Strategy Update Posted

The November 28, 2014 AAR Strategy update is now available on the AAR Subscribers page.  If you are not currently a subscriber and would like to learn more about the strategy, there is a detailed description on the AAR Strategy … Continue reading

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Posted in Asset Allocation Rotational (AAR) Strategy, Market Timing, Relative Strength, Risk Management, Technical Analysis | Tagged , , , , , , | Leave a comment

10-31-2014 AAR Strategy Update Posted

The October 31, 2014 AAR Strategy update is now available on the AAR Subscribers page.  If you are not currently a subscriber and would like to learn more about the strategy, there is a detailed description on the AAR Strategy … Continue reading

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Posted in Asset Allocation Rotational (AAR) Strategy, Market Timing, Risk Management, Strategy Development, Technical Analysis | Tagged , , , , , , | 2 Comments

09-30-2014 AAR Strategy Update Posted

The September 30, 2014 AAR Strategy update is now available on the AAR Subscribers page.  If you are not currently a subscriber and would like to learn more about the strategy, there is a detailed description on the AAR Strategy … Continue reading

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Posted in Asset Allocation Rotational (AAR) Strategy, Market Timing, Relative Strength, Risk Management, Strategy Development, Technical Analysis | Tagged , , , , , , | Leave a comment

08-29-2014 AAR Strategy Update Posted

The August 29, 2014 AAR Strategy update is now available on the AAR Subscribers page.  If you are not currently a subscriber and would like to learn more about the strategy, there is a detailed description on the AAR Strategy … Continue reading

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Posted in Asset Allocation Rotational (AAR) Strategy, Market Timing, Relative Strength, Risk Management, Technical Analysis | Tagged , , , , , , | Leave a comment

Overcome the Odds

I heard something remarkable this morning that reminded me just how ill-suited the human brain is for making investment decisions. The inherent decision-making deficiencies that we all share are well documented in decades of behavioral economics and behavioral finance studies, … Continue reading

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Posted in Market Commentary, Market Timing, Recession Forecasting Model, Risk Management, Strategy Development, Uncategorized | Tagged , , | Leave a comment

Choosing the Optimal Strategy

When you backtest systematic, rule-based strategies and your theory finally identifies a proven market inefficiency, you will face an interesting problem: which profitable trading strategy should you choose.  Optimization tools test a number of strategies that are all based on … Continue reading

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Posted in Risk Management, Strategy Development, Technical Analysis | Tagged , , , , | 2 Comments