Author Archives: Brian Johnson

About Brian Johnson

I have been an investment professional for over 30 years. I worked as a fixed income portfolio manager, personally managing over $13 billion in assets for institutional clients. I was also the President of a financial consulting and software development firm, developing artificial intelligence based forecasting and risk management systems for institutional investment managers. I am now a full-time proprietary trader in options, futures, stocks, and ETFs using both algorithmic and discretionary trading strategies. In addition to my professional investment experience, I designed and taught courses in financial derivatives for both MBA and undergraduate business programs on a part-time basis for a number of years. I have also written four books on options and derivative strategies.

06-30-2015 AAR Strategy Update Posted

Posted on June 30, 2015 by

The June 30, 2015 AAR Strategy update is now available on the AAR Subscribers page.  If you are not currently a subscriber and would like to learn more about the strategy, there is a detailed description on the AAR Strategy … Continue reading →

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Posted in Asset Allocation Rotational (AAR) Strategy, Market Timing, Relative Strength, Risk Management, Strategy Development | Tagged , , , , , , | Leave a comment

Trading is a Journey – Not a Destination

Posted on June 25, 2015 by

The biggest risk in any field of endeavor is becoming complacent. This is true in sports, business, education, politics, and especially in trading. A taste of success can be a very dangerous thing.

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Recommended Reading: 06-18-2015

Posted on June 18, 2015 by

Readers repeatedly ask me for book and article recommendations, especially new traders who are interested in learning more about trading and investing.  Here is another book recommendation from my personal finance library. A complete list of all past recommendations is … Continue reading →

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Posted in Options, Recommended Reading | Tagged , , , | Leave a comment

Recession Model Forecast: 06-01-2015

Posted on June 11, 2015 by

The following article updates the diffusion index, recession slack index, aggregate recession model, and aggregate peak-trough model through May 2015. In January 2015, I created a new explanatory variable for a market-based indicator and I added another new explanatory variable … Continue reading →

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Posted in Economic Indicators, Fundamental Analysis, Market Commentary, Market Timing, Recession Forecasting Model, Risk Management | Tagged , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment

Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) Model Forecast – May 2015

Posted on June 4, 2015 by

This article presents the Trader Edge aggregate neural network model forecast for the May 2015 non-farm payroll data, which is scheduled to be released tomorrow morning at 8:30 AM EDT.

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Posted in Economic Indicators, Fundamental Analysis, Market Commentary, Market Timing, NFP Forecasting Model | Tagged , , , , , , | Leave a comment

05-29-2015 AAR Strategy Update Posted

Posted on May 29, 2015 by

The May 29, 2015 AAR Strategy update is now available on the AAR Subscribers page.  If you are not currently a subscriber and would like to learn more about the strategy, there is a detailed description on the AAR Strategy … Continue reading →

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Posted in Asset Allocation Rotational (AAR) Strategy, Market Timing, Relative Strength, Risk Management, Strategy Development | Tagged , , , , , , | Leave a comment

No Post This Week

Posted on May 28, 2015 by

There will be no post this week. My wife and I moved into a new house late last week and everything we own is still in boxes. Hopefully we will have achieved some level of normalcy before next week’s post. … Continue reading →

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Recession Model Forecast: 05-01-2015

Posted on May 21, 2015 by

The following article updates the diffusion index, recession slack index, aggregate recession model, and aggregate peak-trough model through April 2015. In January 2015, I created a new explanatory variable for a market-based indicator and I added another new explanatory variable … Continue reading →

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Posted in Economic Indicators, Fundamental Analysis, Market Commentary, Market Timing, Recession Forecasting Model | Tagged , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment