Category Archives: Market Timing

Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) Model Forecast – May 2015

Posted on June 4, 2015 by

This article presents the Trader Edge aggregate neural network model forecast for the May 2015 non-farm payroll data, which is scheduled to be released tomorrow morning at 8:30 AM EDT.

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Posted in Economic Indicators, Fundamental Analysis, Market Commentary, Market Timing, NFP Forecasting Model | Tagged , , , , , , | Leave a comment

05-29-2015 AAR Strategy Update Posted

Posted on May 29, 2015 by

The May 29, 2015 AAR Strategy update is now available on the AAR Subscribers page.  If you are not currently a subscriber and would like to learn more about the strategy, there is a detailed description on the AAR Strategy … Continue reading →

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Posted in Asset Allocation Rotational (AAR) Strategy, Market Timing, Relative Strength, Risk Management, Strategy Development | Tagged , , , , , , | Leave a comment

Recession Model Forecast: 05-01-2015

Posted on May 21, 2015 by

The following article updates the diffusion index, recession slack index, aggregate recession model, and aggregate peak-trough model through April 2015. In January 2015, I created a new explanatory variable for a market-based indicator and I added another new explanatory variable … Continue reading →

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Posted in Economic Indicators, Fundamental Analysis, Market Commentary, Market Timing, Recession Forecasting Model | Tagged , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment

Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) Model Forecast – April 2015

Posted on May 7, 2015 by

This article presents the Trader Edge aggregate neural network model forecast for the April 2015 non-farm payroll data, which is scheduled to be released tomorrow morning at 8:30 AM EDT.

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Posted in Economic Indicators, Market Timing, NFP Forecasting Model | Tagged , , , , , , | Leave a comment

Recession Model Forecast 04-01-2015

Posted on April 16, 2015 by

The following article updates the diffusion index, recession slack index, aggregate recession model, and aggregate peak-trough model through March 2015. In January 2015, I created a new explanatory variable for a new market-based indicator, bringing the total number of explanatory … Continue reading →

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Posted in Economic Indicators, Market Commentary, Market Timing, Recession Forecasting Model | Tagged , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment

Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) Model Forecast – March 2015

Posted on April 2, 2015 by

This article presents the Trader Edge aggregate neural network model forecast for the March 2015 non-farm payroll data, which is scheduled to be released tomorrow morning at 8:30 AM EST.

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Posted in Economic Indicators, Fundamental Analysis, Market Timing, NFP Forecasting Model | Tagged , , , , , , | Leave a comment

03-31-2015 AAR Strategy Update Posted

Posted on March 31, 2015 by

The March 31, 2015 AAR Strategy update is now available on the AAR Subscribers page.  If you are not currently a subscriber and would like to learn more about the strategy, there is a detailed description on the AAR Strategy … Continue reading →

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Posted in Asset Allocation Rotational (AAR) Strategy, Market Timing, Relative Strength, Risk Management, Strategy Development, Technical Analysis | Tagged , , , , , , | Leave a comment

Recession Model Forecast 03-01-2015

Posted on March 12, 2015 by

The following article updates the diffusion index, recession slack index, aggregate recession model, and aggregate peak-trough model through February 2015. I read an article last month about a market-based metric that was indicating a recession. I tested the new indicator … Continue reading →

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Posted in Economic Indicators, Fundamental Analysis, Market Timing, Recession Forecasting Model | Tagged , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment