Category Archives: Market Timing

Recession Model Forecast: 10-01-2016

Posted on October 23, 2016 by

The following article updates the diffusion index, recession slack index, aggregate recession model, and aggregate peak-trough model through September 2016. Throughout 2015, I added a number of new economic and market-based variables with very strong explanatory power to the recession … Continue reading →

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Posted in Economic Indicators, Fundamental Analysis, Market Commentary, Market Timing, Recession Forecasting Model, Risk Management | Tagged , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment

Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) Model Forecast – September 2016

Posted on October 6, 2016 by

This article presents the Trader Edge aggregate neural network model forecast for the September 2016 non-farm payroll data, which is scheduled to be released tomorrow morning at 8:30 AM EDT.

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Posted in Economic Indicators, Fundamental Analysis, Market Commentary, Market Timing, NFP Forecasting Model, Risk Management | Tagged , , , , , , | Leave a comment

09-30-2016 AAR Strategy Update Posted

Posted on September 30, 2016 by

The September 30, 2016 AAR Strategy update is now available on the AAR Subscribers page. The AAR strategy is a conservative, long-only, asset allocation strategy that rotates monthly among five large asset classes: large-cap U.S. stocks, developed country stocks in … Continue reading →

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Posted in Asset Allocation Rotational (AAR) Strategy, Market Timing, Relative Strength, Risk Management, Strategy Development | Tagged , , , , , , | Leave a comment

Recession Model Forecast: 09-01-2016

Posted on September 24, 2016 by

The following article updates the diffusion index, recession slack index, aggregate recession model, and aggregate peak-trough model through August 2016. Throughout 2015, I added a number of new economic and market-based variables with very strong explanatory power to the recession … Continue reading →

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Posted in Economic Indicators, Market Commentary, Market Timing, NFP Forecasting Model, Risk Management | Tagged , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment

Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) Model Forecast – August 2016

Posted on September 1, 2016 by

This article presents the Trader Edge aggregate neural network model forecast for the August 2016 non-farm payroll data, which is scheduled to be released tomorrow morning at 8:30 AM EDT.

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Posted in Economic Indicators, Market Commentary, Market Timing, NFP Forecasting Model | Tagged , , , , , , | Leave a comment

08-31-2016 AAR Strategy Update Posted

Posted on August 31, 2016 by

The August 31, 2016 AAR Strategy update is now available on the AAR Subscribers page. The AAR strategy is a conservative, long-only, asset allocation strategy that rotates monthly among five large asset classes: large-cap U.S. stocks, developed country stocks in … Continue reading →

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Posted in Asset Allocation Rotational (AAR) Strategy, Market Timing, Relative Strength, Risk Management, Strategy Development | Tagged , , , , , , | Leave a comment

Recession Model Forecast: 08-01-2016

Posted on August 27, 2016 by

The following article updates the diffusion index, recession slack index, aggregate recession model, and aggregate peak-trough model through July 2016. Throughout 2015, I added a number of new economic and market-based variables with very strong explanatory power to the recession … Continue reading →

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Posted in Economic Indicators, Market Commentary, Market Timing, Recession Forecasting Model, Risk Management | Tagged , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment

Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) Model Forecast – July 2016

Posted on August 4, 2016 by

This article presents the Trader Edge aggregate neural network model forecast for the July 2016 non-farm payroll data, which is scheduled to be released tomorrow morning at 8:30 AM EDT.

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Posted in Economic Indicators, Market Commentary, Market Timing, NFP Forecasting Model | Tagged , , , , , , | Leave a comment