Category Archives: Technical Analysis

03-31-2014 AAR Strategy Update Posted

Posted on March 31, 2014 by

The March 31, 2014 AAR Strategy update is now available on the AAR Subscribers page.  If you are not currently a subscriber and would like to learn more about the strategy, there is a detailed description on the AAR Strategy … Continue reading →

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Posted in Asset Allocation Rotational (AAR) Strategy, Market Timing, Technical Analysis | Tagged , , , , , , | Leave a comment

Recommended Reading 03-27-2014

Posted on March 27, 2014 by

Readers repeatedly ask me for book and article recommendations, especially new traders who are interested in learning more about trading and investing.  Education is the single most important prerequisite for trading success.  Look for periodic posts with my  personal recommendations … Continue reading →

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2-28-2014 AAR Strategy Update Posted

Posted on March 1, 2014 by

The February 28, 2014 AAR Strategy update is now available on the AAR Subscribers page.  If you are not currently a subscriber and would like to learn more about the strategy, there is a detailed description on the AAR Strategy … Continue reading →

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5 Near-Term Warning Signs

Posted on February 23, 2014 by

Despite the impressive V-shaped recovery in stock prices over the past two weeks, there is still serious cause for concern.  There are five near-term warning signs the equity markets must vanquish before the bulls can declare a short-term victory over … Continue reading →

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Posted in Market Breadth, Market Commentary, Market Timing, Relative Strength, Technical Analysis | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment

Relatlive Strength Warning Sign

Posted on February 16, 2014 by

The relative strength market timing indicator (RSMTI) is one of my favorite tools. It has been very useful in identifying short-term and long-term market turning points before they occur.  It correctly predicted the recent pullback in the equity markets eight … Continue reading →

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Posted in AmiBroker Code, Market Timing, Relative Strength, Technical Analysis | Tagged , , , , | 2 Comments

1-31-2014 AAR Strategy Update Posted

Posted on February 1, 2014 by

The January 31, 2014 AAR Strategy update is now available on the AAR Subscribers page.  If you are not currently a subscriber and would like to learn more about the strategy, there is a detailed description on the AAR Strategy … Continue reading →

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Choosing the Optimal Strategy

Posted on January 23, 2014 by

When you backtest systematic, rule-based strategies and your theory finally identifies a proven market inefficiency, you will face an interesting problem: which profitable trading strategy should you choose.  Optimization tools test a number of strategies that are all based on … Continue reading →

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Posted in Risk Management, Strategy Development, Technical Analysis | Tagged , , , , | 2 Comments

2013 AAR Strategy Results

Posted on January 1, 2014 by

The AAR strategy is a conservative, long-only, asset allocation strategy that rotates monthly among five large asset classes: large-cap U.S. stocks, developed country stocks in Europe and Asia, emerging market stocks, U.S. Treasury Notes, and commodities. It is one of … Continue reading →

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Posted in Asset Allocation Rotational (AAR) Strategy, Market Timing, Technical Analysis | Tagged , , , , , , | 1 Comment