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Tag Archives: European debt crisis
Jobs Report: Good News and Bad News
The market was clearly thrilled with the +163K non-farm payroll (NFP) number on Friday morning. Equity markets were up worldwide, as were most commodities. The NFP number was much better than the consensus estimate of +100K, although the estimate of … Continue reading
Vote of No Confidence for Draghi
After Mario Draghi’s impassioned guarantee to do “whatever it takes to save the euro,” equity markets around the globe initially rose in eager anticipation of the breathtaking new plan to rescue the troubled European sovereign debt markets. Unfortunately, today’s announcement … Continue reading
Posted in Market Commentary, Market Timing
Tagged ECB, European borrowing costs, European debt crisis, Mario Draghi, Risk-off
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Prices and Earnings Diverge
According to FactSet, since June 1, the price of the S&P 500 index has increased by 6.4%, while the year-over-year earnings growth rate for Q3 has declined from +3.5% to -1.6%. In other words, while analysts were reducing their earnings … Continue reading
Yields Soar in Italy and Spain
Borrowing costs in Italy and Spain continue to be reliable barometers for the status of the European Debt Crisis. If Italy and Spain lose access to the credit markets, the house of cards would finally come tumbling down. As I … Continue reading
Housing Starts Only Bright Spot This Week
Housing starts were the only bright spot in another dismal week of economic data in the U.S. The following post provides an overview of the major economic releases from this week as well as an update on market conditions, including … Continue reading
Spain: More Debt Equals Increased Risk of Default
After insisting a week ago that they did not need a bailout, Spain asked for $125 billion to shore up its crumbling banking system. World equity markets initially rallied on the news. Spain’s IBEX 35 index was up a remarkable … Continue reading
Posted in Fundamental Analysis, Market Commentary, Market Timing
Tagged bailout, default risk, European debt crisis, Spain
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European Yield Barometer Tainted by ECB
Over the past week, the yield on ten-year Spanish debt dropped from over 7.00% to a low of 6.60%. The yield on Italy’s debt dropped from over 6.00% to 5.78%. That is great news, right? It means that Europe … Continue reading →