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- John C on Recession Model Forecast: 10-1-2022
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Tag Archives: recession forecast
Recession Model Forecast 11-01-2013
The following article updates the diffusion index, recession slack index, aggregate recession model, and aggregate peak-trough model through October 2013.
Posted in Economic Indicators, Fundamental Analysis, Market Commentary, Market Timing, Recession Forecasting Model
Tagged aggregate peak-trough model, aggregate recession model, diffusion index, logit model, probit model, recession forecast, recession forecast October 2013, Recession Slack Index, Trader Edge
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Recession Model Forecast 10-01-2013
The following article updates the diffusion index, recession slack index, aggregate recession model, and aggregate peak-trough model through September 2013.
Posted in Economic Indicators, Fundamental Analysis, Market Timing, Recession Forecasting Model
Tagged aggregate peak-trough model, aggregate recession model, diffusion index, logit model, probit model, recession forecast, recession forecast September 2013, Recession Slack Index, Trader Edge
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Recession Model Forecast 09-01-2013
The following article updates the diffusion index, recession slack index, aggregate recession model, and aggregate peak-trough model through August 2013.
Posted in Economic Indicators, Fundamental Analysis, Market Timing, Recession Forecasting Model
Tagged aggregate peak-trough model, aggregate recession model, diffusion index, logit model, probit model, recession forecast, recession forecast August 2013, Recession Slack Index, Trader Edge
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Recession Risk Still Low in July
The following article updates the diffusion index, recession slack index, aggregate recession model, and aggregate peak-trough model through July 2013.
Posted in Economic Indicators, Fundamental Analysis, Market Timing, Recession Forecasting Model
Tagged aggregate peak-trough model, aggregate recession model, diffusion index, logit model, probit model, recession forecast, recession forecast July 2013, Recession Slack Index, Trader Edge
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Recession Risk Remained Low In June
The following article updates the diffusion index, recession slack index, aggregate recession model, and aggregate peak-trough model through June 2013.
Posted in Economic Indicators, Fundamental Analysis, Market Timing, Recession Forecasting Model
Tagged aggregate peak-trough model, aggregate recession model, diffusion index, logit model, probit model, recession forecast, recession forecast June 2013, Recession Slack Index, Trader Edge
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Recession Risk Remained Low in May
The following article updates the diffusion index, recession slack index, aggregate recession model, and aggregate peak-trough model through May 2013.
Posted in Economic Indicators, Fundamental Analysis, Market Timing, Recession Forecasting Model
Tagged aggregate peak-trough model, aggregate recession model, diffusion index, logit model, probit model, recession forecast, recession forecast May 2013, Recession Slack Index, Trader Edge
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ECRI Cries Wolf – Again
The Economic Cycle Research Institute (ECRI) is one of the leaders in business cycle forecasting, but they had one spectacular and very public forecasting failure in the fall of 2011 – when they predicted an imminent U.S. recession. Until that … Continue reading
Recession Model Forecast 12-01-2013
The following article updates the diffusion index, recession slack index, aggregate recession model, and aggregate peak-trough model through November 2013.