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Tag Archives: Trader Edge
Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) Model Forecast – February 2016
This article presents the Trader Edge aggregate neural network model forecast for the February 2016 non-farm payroll data, which is scheduled to be released tomorrow morning at 8:30 AM EST.
02-29-2016 AAR Strategy Update Posted
The February 29, 2016 AAR Strategy update is now available on the AAR Subscribers page. If you are not currently a subscriber and would like to learn more about the strategy, there is a detailed description on the AAR Strategy … Continue reading
Posted in Asset Allocation Rotational (AAR) Strategy, Market Commentary, Market Timing, Relative Strength, Risk Management, Strategy Development, Technical Analysis
Tagged asset allocation, asset allocation rotational strategy, asset allocation strategy, Ivy League Portfolio, rotatinal strategy, trade, Trader Edge
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Model Flashes US Recession Warning: 02-01-2016
The following article updates the diffusion index, recession slack index, aggregate recession model, and aggregate peak-trough model through January 2016. Throughout 2015, I added a number of new economic and market-based variables with very strong explanatory power to the recession … Continue reading
Posted in Economic Indicators, Fundamental Analysis, Market Commentary, Market Timing, Recession Forecasting Model, Risk Management
Tagged aggregate peak-trough model, aggregate recession model, diffusion index, logit model, probit model, recession forecast, recession forecast January 2016, Recession Slack Index, Trader Edge
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Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) Model Forecast – January 2016
This article presents the Trader Edge aggregate neural network model forecast for the January 2016 non-farm payroll data, which is scheduled to be released tomorrow morning at 8:30 AM EST.
01-29-2016 AAR Strategy Update Posted
The January 29, 2016 AAR Strategy update is now available on the AAR Subscribers page. If you are not currently a subscriber and would like to learn more about the strategy, there is a detailed description on the AAR Strategy … Continue reading
Posted in Asset Allocation Rotational (AAR) Strategy, Market Commentary, Market Timing, Relative Strength, Risk Management, Strategy Development, Technical Analysis
Tagged asset allocation, asset allocation rotational strategy, asset allocation strategy, Ivy League Portfolio, rotatinal strategy, trade, Trader Edge
Leave a comment
Recession Model Forecast: 01-01-2016
The following article updates the diffusion index, recession slack index, aggregate recession model, and aggregate peak-trough model through December 2015. Over the past 12 months, I added a number of new economic and market-based variables with very strong explanatory power … Continue reading
Posted in Economic Indicators, Fundamental Analysis, Market Commentary, Market Timing, Recession Forecasting Model, Risk Management
Tagged aggregate peak-trough model, aggregate recession model, diffusion index, logit model, probit model, recession forecast, recession forecast December 2015, Recession Slack Index, Trader Edge
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2015 AAR Strategy Results
The following article reports and evaluates the 2015 results of the AAR strategy. The AAR strategy is a conservative, long-only, asset allocation strategy that rotates monthly among five large asset classes: large-cap U.S. stocks, developed country stocks in Europe and … Continue reading
Posted in Asset Allocation Rotational (AAR) Strategy, Market Timing, Relative Strength, Risk Management, Strategy Development, Technical Analysis
Tagged asset allocation, asset allocation rotational strategy, asset allocation strategy, Ivy League Portfolio, rotatinal strategy, trade, Trader Edge
Leave a comment
Recession Model Forecast: 03-01-2016
The following article updates the diffusion index, recession slack index, aggregate recession model, and aggregate peak-trough model through February 2016. Throughout 2015, I added a number of new economic and market-based variables with very strong explanatory power to the recession … Continue reading →