Category Archives: Market Timing

2014 AAR Strategy Results

The AAR strategy is a conservative, long-only, asset allocation strategy that rotates monthly among five large asset classes: large-cap U.S. stocks, developed country stocks in Europe and Asia, emerging market stocks, U.S. Treasury Notes, and commodities. It is one of … Continue reading

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Posted in Asset Allocation Rotational (AAR) Strategy, Market Timing, Relative Strength, Risk Management, Strategy Development, Technical Analysis | Tagged , , , , , , | 2 Comments

Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) Model Forecast – December 2014

This article presents the Trader Edge aggregate neural network model forecast for the December 2014 non-farm payroll data, which is scheduled to be released tomorrow morning at 8:30 AM EST.

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Posted in Economic Indicators, Market Commentary, Market Timing, NFP Forecasting Model | Tagged , , , , , , | Leave a comment

12-31-2014 AAR Strategy Update Posted

The December 31, 2014 AAR Strategy update is now available on the AAR Subscribers page.  If you are not currently a subscriber and would like to learn more about the strategy, there is a detailed description on the AAR Strategy … Continue reading

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Posted in Asset Allocation Rotational (AAR) Strategy, Market Timing, Relative Strength, Risk Management, Strategy Development, Technical Analysis | Tagged , , , , , , | 2 Comments

Recession Model Forecast 12-01-2014

The following article updates the diffusion index, recession slack index, aggregate recession model, and aggregate peak-trough model through November 2014. Please note that two new explanatory variables were added to the Trader Edge Recession Models in July and one explanatory … Continue reading

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Posted in Economic Indicators, Fundamental Analysis, Market Timing, Recession Forecasting Model | Tagged , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment

Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) Model Forecast – November 2014

This article presents the Trader Edge aggregate neural network model forecast for the November 2014 non-farm payroll data, which is scheduled to be released tomorrow morning at 8:30 AM EST.

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Posted in Economic Indicators, Market Commentary, Market Timing, NFP Forecasting Model | Tagged , , , , , , | Leave a comment

11-28-2014 AAR Strategy Update Posted

The November 28, 2014 AAR Strategy update is now available on the AAR Subscribers page.  If you are not currently a subscriber and would like to learn more about the strategy, there is a detailed description on the AAR Strategy … Continue reading

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Posted in Asset Allocation Rotational (AAR) Strategy, Market Timing, Relative Strength, Risk Management, Technical Analysis | Tagged , , , , , , | Leave a comment

Recession Model Forecast 11-01-2014

The following article updates the diffusion index, recession slack index, aggregate recession model, and aggregate peak-trough model through October 2014. Please note that two new explanatory variables were added to the Trader Edge Recession Models in July and one explanatory … Continue reading

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Posted in Economic Indicators, Fundamental Analysis, Market Timing, Recession Forecasting Model | Tagged , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment

Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) Model Forecast – October 2014

This article presents the Trader Edge aggregate neural network model forecast for the October 2014 non-farm payroll data, which is scheduled to be released tomorrow morning at 8:30 AM EST.

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Posted in Economic Indicators, Fundamental Analysis, Market Commentary, Market Timing, NFP Forecasting Model | Tagged , , , , , , | Leave a comment