Categories
Archives
AI Volatility Edge E-Subscription
OIS Universal Filter E-Subscription
Brian Johnson’s Books
Trader Edge Affiliates
Recent Posts
Recent Comments
- Brian Johnson on Trading Option Volatility Featured in Stocks & Commodities Magazine
- John C on Recession Model Forecast: 10-1-2022
- Recession Model Forecast: 10-1-2022 | Trader Edge on New AI Volatility Edge Platform
- Steve Ginn on Trading Option Volatility Featured in Stocks & Commodities Magazine
- John C on Recession Model Forecast: 03-01-2022
Author’s LinkedIn Profile
Affiliates
Resources
Blogroll
- Abnormal Returns
- Algo Dude
- Chart Swing Trader
- CSS Analytics
- Don't Fear The Bear
- DShort.Com
- Dynamic Hedge
- FactorWave
- Intelligent Trading
- MarketSci Blog
- My Simple Quant
- Nightly Patterns
- NovelInvestor.com
- NYC Trader
- Only VIX
- Option Pit
- Quantifiable Edges
- Quantivity
- Quantocracy
- QUSMA
- Six Figure Investing
- System Trader Success
- The Capital Spectator
- The Relativity Report
- Traders Blog
- Trading the Odds
- Tyler's Trading
- Vix and More
- Volatility Futures & Options
- World Beta
- Zen Trader
Meta
Disclosure
Trading Insights, LLC receives compensation for purchased made through affiliates above.Limitation of Liability
Under no circumstances, including but not limited to negligence, shall Brian Johnson and/or Trading Insights, LLC be liable to you for direct , indirect, incidental, consequential, special, punitive or exemplary damages. Please read the Disclaimer & Terms page in its entirety.
Tag Archives: Trader Edge
Recession Model Forecast: 02-01-2017
The following article updates the diffusion index, recession slack index, aggregate recession model, and aggregate peak-trough model through January 2017. Throughout 2015, I added a number of new economic and market-based variables with very strong explanatory power to the recession … Continue reading
Posted in Economic Indicators, Fundamental Analysis, Market Timing, Recession Forecasting Model, Risk Management
Tagged aggregate peak-trough model, aggregate recession model, diffusion index, logit model, probit model, recession forecast, recession forecast January 2017, Recession Slack Index, Trader Edge
Leave a comment
No Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) Model Post This Month
Due to the demands of an ongoing VIX futures research project, Trader Edge will not publish a Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) model forecast this month. The VIX futures project is much more complex than I initially anticipated. I have developed and … Continue reading
It’s Earnings Season Again
It is earnings season again, which is one of the best times to exploit earnings-related option pricing anomalies. Option traders are savvy, but Earnings volatility is a difficult concept and it affects every option in the matrix differently.When markets move, … Continue reading
Recession Model Forecast: 12-01-2016
The following article updates the diffusion index, recession slack index, aggregate recession model, and aggregate peak-trough model through November 2016. Throughout 2015, I added a number of new economic and market-based variables with very strong explanatory power to the recession … Continue reading
Posted in Economic Indicators, Fundamental Analysis, Market Timing, Recession Forecasting Model, Risk Management
Tagged aggregate peak-trough model, aggregate recession model, diffusion index, logit model, probit model, recession forecast, recession forecast November 2016, Recession Slack Index, Trader Edge
Leave a comment
Recession Model Forecast: 11-01-2016
The following article updates the diffusion index, recession slack index, aggregate recession model, and aggregate peak-trough model through October 2016. Throughout 2015, I added a number of new economic and market-based variables with very strong explanatory power to the recession … Continue reading
Posted in Economic Indicators, Fundamental Analysis, Market Commentary, Market Timing, Recession Forecasting Model, Risk Management
Tagged aggregate peak-trough model, aggregate recession model, diffusion index, logit model, probit model, recession forecast, recession forecast October 2016, Recession Slack Index, Trader Edge
Leave a comment
Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) Model Forecast – October 2016
This article presents the Trader Edge aggregate neural network model forecast for the October 2016 non-farm payroll data, which is scheduled to be released tomorrow morning at 8:30 AM EDT.
10-31-2016 AAR Strategy Update Posted
The October 31, 2016 AAR Strategy update is now available on the AAR Subscribers page. The AAR strategy is a conservative, long-only, asset allocation strategy that rotates monthly among five large asset classes: large-cap U.S. stocks, developed country stocks in … Continue reading
Recession Model Forecast: 01-01-2017
The following article updates the diffusion index, recession slack index, aggregate recession model, and aggregate peak-trough model through December 2016. Throughout 2015, I added a number of new economic and market-based variables with very strong explanatory power to the recession … Continue reading →