Author Archives: Brian Johnson

About Brian Johnson

I have been an investment professional for over 30 years. I worked as a fixed income portfolio manager, personally managing over $13 billion in assets for institutional clients. I was also the President of a financial consulting and software development firm, developing artificial intelligence based forecasting and risk management systems for institutional investment managers. I am now a full-time proprietary trader in options, futures, stocks, and ETFs using both algorithmic and discretionary trading strategies. In addition to my professional investment experience, I designed and taught courses in financial derivatives for both MBA and undergraduate business programs on a part-time basis for a number of years.

Options Book Incorrectly Attributed to Brian Johnson on Amazon

Please be aware that the following book was incorrectly attributed to me and inappropriately listed on my author’s page on Amazon: “Options Trading Strategies: Advanced guide with all the latest winning strategies, practical tips and suggestions that will make the … Continue reading

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Recession Model Forecast: 01-01-2020

Before I update the recession forecast, I want to share some new developments. First, I have decided not to return to teach in the MBA program at Carolina next year. I had hoped that teaching part-time would still allow me … Continue reading

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Posted in Economic Indicators, Fundamental Analysis, Market Commentary, Market Timing, Recession Forecasting Model, Risk Management, Strategy Development | Tagged , , , , , , , , | 5 Comments

Recession Model Forecast: 12-01-2019

The following article updates the diffusion indices, recession slack index, aggregate recession model, and aggregate peak-trough model through November 2019. The current 26-variable model has a diverse set of explanatory variables and is quite robust. Each of the explanatory variables … Continue reading

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Recession Model Forecast: 11-01-2019

The following article updates the diffusion indices, recession slack index, aggregate recession model, and aggregate peak-trough model through October 2019. The current 26-variable model has a diverse set of explanatory variables and is quite robust. Each of the explanatory variables … Continue reading

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Recession Model Forecast: 10-01-2019

The following article updates the diffusion indices, recession slack index, aggregate recession model, and aggregate peak-trough model through September 2019. The current 26-variable model has a diverse set of explanatory variables and is quite robust. Each of the explanatory variables … Continue reading

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Recession Model Forecast: 09-01-2019

As I mentioned last month, I will be teaching the MBA derivatives class again for the University of North Carolina’s Kenan-Flagler Business School (KFBS). I reduced my teaching schedule this year to a single MBA derivatives class, which begins next … Continue reading

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Recession Model Forecast: 08-01-2019

In addition to my full-time proprietary trading and research efforts, I have been teaching part-time as a Professor of the Practice at University of North Carolina’s Kenan-Flagler Business School. I taught four courses in the 2018-2019 academic year: one full-year … Continue reading

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Recession Model Forecast: 07-01-2019

The following article updates the diffusion index, recession slack index, aggregate recession model, and aggregate peak-trough model through June 2019. The current 21-variable model has a diverse set of explanatory variables and is quite robust. Each of the explanatory variables … Continue reading

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Posted in Economic Indicators, Fundamental Analysis, Market Commentary, Market Timing, Recession Forecasting Model, Risk Management | Tagged , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment