Author Archives: Brian Johnson

About Brian Johnson

I have been an investment professional for over 30 years. I worked as a fixed income portfolio manager, personally managing over $13 billion in assets for institutional clients. I was also the President of a financial consulting and software development firm, developing artificial intelligence based forecasting and risk management systems for institutional investment managers. I am now a full-time proprietary trader in options, futures, stocks, and ETFs using both algorithmic and discretionary trading strategies. In addition to my professional investment experience, I designed and taught courses in financial derivatives for both MBA and undergraduate business programs on a part-time basis for a number of years. I have also written four books on options and derivative strategies.

Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) Forecast – February 2014

Posted on March 6, 2014 by

This article presents the Trader Edge aggregate neural network model forecast for the February 2014 non-farm payroll data, which is scheduled to be released tomorrow morning at 8:30 AM EST.

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Posted in Economic Indicators, Fundamental Analysis, Market Timing, NFP Forecasting Model | Tagged , , , , , , | Leave a comment

2-28-2014 AAR Strategy Update Posted

Posted on March 1, 2014 by

The February 28, 2014 AAR Strategy update is now available on the AAR Subscribers page.  If you are not currently a subscriber and would like to learn more about the strategy, there is a detailed description on the AAR Strategy … Continue reading →

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Posted in Asset Allocation Rotational (AAR) Strategy, Market Timing, Technical Analysis | Tagged , , , , , , | Leave a comment

5 Near-Term Warning Signs

Posted on February 23, 2014 by

Despite the impressive V-shaped recovery in stock prices over the past two weeks, there is still serious cause for concern.  There are five near-term warning signs the equity markets must vanquish before the bulls can declare a short-term victory over … Continue reading →

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Posted in Market Breadth, Market Commentary, Market Timing, Relative Strength, Technical Analysis | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment

Relatlive Strength Warning Sign

Posted on February 16, 2014 by

The relative strength market timing indicator (RSMTI) is one of my favorite tools. It has been very useful in identifying short-term and long-term market turning points before they occur.  It correctly predicted the recent pullback in the equity markets eight … Continue reading →

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Posted in AmiBroker Code, Market Timing, Relative Strength, Technical Analysis | Tagged , , , , | 2 Comments

Recession Model Forecast 02-01-2014

Posted on February 13, 2014 by

The following article updates the diffusion index, recession slack index, aggregate recession model, and aggregate peak-trough model through January 2014.

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Posted in Economic Indicators, Fundamental Analysis, Market Timing, Recession Forecasting Model | Tagged , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment

Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) Forecast – January 2014

Posted on February 6, 2014 by

This article presents the Trader Edge aggregate neural network model forecast for the January 2014 non-farm payroll data, which is scheduled to be released tomorrow morning at 8:30 AM EST.

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Posted in Economic Indicators, Fundamental Analysis, Market Timing, NFP Forecasting Model | Tagged , , , , , , | Leave a comment

1-31-2014 AAR Strategy Update Posted

Posted on February 1, 2014 by

The January 31, 2014 AAR Strategy update is now available on the AAR Subscribers page.  If you are not currently a subscriber and would like to learn more about the strategy, there is a detailed description on the AAR Strategy … Continue reading →

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Posted in Asset Allocation Rotational (AAR) Strategy, Market Timing, Technical Analysis | Tagged , , , , , , | Leave a comment

2013 Trader Edge Strategy Research

Posted on January 30, 2014 by

I don’t write about it often on Trader Edge, but most of my work the past year has been on option strategies.  As a rule, I do not trade strategies unless they demonstrate a significant advantage in back and forward … Continue reading →

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Posted in Options, Strategy Development | Tagged , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment