Category Archives: Economic Indicators

Recession Model Forecast: 06-01-2016

Posted on June 19, 2016 by

The following article updates the diffusion index, recession slack index, aggregate recession model, and aggregate peak-trough model through May 2016. Throughout 2015, I added a number of new economic and market-based variables with very strong explanatory power to the recession … Continue reading →

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Posted in Economic Indicators, Fundamental Analysis, Market Commentary, Market Timing, Recession Forecasting Model, Risk Management | Tagged , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment

Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) Model Forecast – May 2016

Posted on June 2, 2016 by

This article presents the Trader Edge aggregate neural network model forecast for the May 2016 non-farm payroll data, which is scheduled to be released tomorrow morning at 8:30 AM EDT.

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Posted in Economic Indicators, Fundamental Analysis, Market Commentary, Market Timing, NFP Forecasting Model | Tagged , , , , , , | Leave a comment

Recession Model Forecast: 05-01-2016

Posted on May 21, 2016 by

The following article updates the diffusion index, recession slack index, aggregate recession model, and aggregate peak-trough model through April 2016. Throughout 2015, I added a number of new economic and market-based variables with very strong explanatory power to the recession … Continue reading →

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Posted in Economic Indicators, Fundamental Analysis, Market Commentary, Market Timing, Recession Forecasting Model, Risk Management | Tagged , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment

Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) Model Forecast – April 2016

Posted on May 5, 2016 by

This article presents the Trader Edge aggregate neural network model forecast for the April 2016 non-farm payroll data, which is scheduled to be released tomorrow morning at 8:30 AM EDT.

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Posted in Economic Indicators, Fundamental Analysis, Market Commentary, Market Timing, NFP Forecasting Model | Tagged , , , , , , | Leave a comment

Bulls Beware

Posted on May 1, 2016 by

I have been working daily on designing and backtesting various option strategies, which will continue to be my focus for the foreseeable future. As a result, the time available for writing new posts has been and will continue to be … Continue reading →

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Posted in Earnings, Economic Indicators, Fundamental Analysis, Market Commentary, Market Timing, Recession Forecasting Model, Relative Strength, Risk Management | Tagged , , , | Leave a comment

Recession Model Forecast: 04-01-2016

Posted on April 17, 2016 by

The following article updates the diffusion index, recession slack index, aggregate recession model, and aggregate peak-trough model through March 2016. Throughout 2015, I added a number of new economic and market-based variables with very strong explanatory power to the recession … Continue reading →

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Posted in Economic Indicators, Fundamental Analysis, Market Commentary, Market Timing, Recession Forecasting Model, Risk Management | Tagged , , , , , , , , | 1 Comment

Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) Model Forecast – March 2016

Posted on March 31, 2016 by

This article presents the Trader Edge aggregate neural network model forecast for the March 2016 non-farm payroll data, which is scheduled to be released tomorrow morning at 8:30 AM EDT.

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Posted in Economic Indicators, Fundamental Analysis, Market Timing, NFP Forecasting Model, Risk Management | Tagged , , , , , , | Leave a comment

Recession Model Forecast: 03-01-2016

Posted on March 19, 2016 by

The following article updates the diffusion index, recession slack index, aggregate recession model, and aggregate peak-trough model through February 2016. Throughout 2015, I added a number of new economic and market-based variables with very strong explanatory power to the recession … Continue reading →

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Posted in Economic Indicators, Market Commentary, Market Timing, Recession Forecasting Model, Risk Management | Tagged , , , , , , , , | 2 Comments