Author Archives: Brian Johnson

About Brian Johnson

I have been an investment professional for over 30 years. I worked as a fixed income portfolio manager, personally managing over $13 billion in assets for institutional clients. I was also the President of a financial consulting and software development firm, developing artificial intelligence based forecasting and risk management systems for institutional investment managers. I am now a full-time proprietary trader in options, futures, stocks, and ETFs using both algorithmic and discretionary trading strategies. In addition to my professional investment experience, I designed and taught courses in financial derivatives for both MBA and undergraduate business programs on a part-time basis for a number of years. I have also written four books on options and derivative strategies.

10-31-2014 AAR Strategy Update Posted

Posted on October 31, 2014 by

The October 31, 2014 AAR Strategy update is now available on the AAR Subscribers page.  If you are not currently a subscriber and would like to learn more about the strategy, there is a detailed description on the AAR Strategy … Continue reading →

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Posted in Asset Allocation Rotational (AAR) Strategy, Market Timing, Risk Management, Strategy Development, Technical Analysis | Tagged , , , , , , | 2 Comments

Sentiment Warning Signal Flashing Red

Posted on October 30, 2014 by

Many traders use technical and/or fundamental data, but few traders have discovered the unique benefits of using sentiment data in their investment process. Sentiment data attempts to quantify the emotional mood of investors and traders and can be used as … Continue reading →

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Posted in Market Commentary, Market Sentiment, Market Timing | Tagged , , | 1 Comment

Political Diversions

Posted on October 23, 2014 by

I don’t believe it is appropriate to use this forum to spread my political beliefs. However, I do follow politics and I wanted to share with you two interesting sites that forecast election results. The first is Nate Silver’s FiveThirtyEight.com. … Continue reading →

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Posted in Uncategorized | Tagged , , | 1 Comment

Equity Market Snapshot 10-15-2014

Posted on October 16, 2014 by

The recent sell-off in the equity markets and the dramatic increase in volatility has raised serious concerns among many traders and investors. The fact that the sell-off is occurring in October and the expansion is in its fifth year has … Continue reading →

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Posted in Equity Market Snapshot, Market Breadth, Market Commentary, Market Timing, Technical Analysis | Tagged , , , , , | Leave a comment

Recession Model Forecast 10-01-2014

Posted on October 9, 2014 by

The following article updates the diffusion index, recession slack index, aggregate recession model, and aggregate peak-trough model through September 2014. Please note that two new explanatory variables were added to the Trader Edge Recession Models in July and one explanatory … Continue reading →

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Posted in Economic Indicators, Market Commentary, Market Timing, Recession Forecasting Model | Tagged , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment

Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) Model Forecast – September 2014

Posted on October 2, 2014 by

This article presents the Trader Edge aggregate neural network model forecast for the September 2014 non-farm payroll data, which is scheduled to be released tomorrow morning at 8:30 AM EDT.

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Posted in Economic Indicators, Market Commentary, Market Timing, NFP Forecasting Model | Tagged , , , , , , | Leave a comment

09-30-2014 AAR Strategy Update Posted

Posted on September 30, 2014 by

The September 30, 2014 AAR Strategy update is now available on the AAR Subscribers page.  If you are not currently a subscriber and would like to learn more about the strategy, there is a detailed description on the AAR Strategy … Continue reading →

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Posted in Asset Allocation Rotational (AAR) Strategy, Market Timing, Relative Strength, Risk Management, Strategy Development, Technical Analysis | Tagged , , , , , , | Leave a comment

Option Strategy Risk / Return Ratios Featured in Active Trader Magazine

Posted on September 27, 2014 by

My new book Option Strategy Risk / Return Ratios: A Revolutionary New Approach to Optimizing, Adjusting, and Trading Any Option Income Strategy is featured in the Trader’s Bookshelf section of the October 2014 issue of Active Trader Magazine. Brian Johnson … Continue reading →

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Posted in Options, Recommended Reading | Tagged , , , , , , , | 2 Comments