Author Archives: Brian Johnson

About Brian Johnson

I have been an investment professional for over 30 years. I worked as a fixed income portfolio manager, personally managing over $13 billion in assets for institutional clients. I was also the President of a financial consulting and software development firm, developing artificial intelligence based forecasting and risk management systems for institutional investment managers. I am now a full-time proprietary trader in options, futures, stocks, and ETFs using both algorithmic and discretionary trading strategies. In addition to my professional investment experience, I designed and taught courses in financial derivatives for both MBA and undergraduate business programs on a part-time basis for a number of years. I have also written four books on options and derivative strategies.

Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) Forecast – August 2013

Posted on September 5, 2013 by

This article presents the Trader Edge aggregate neural network model forecast for the August 2013 non-farm payroll data, which will be released tomorrow morning.

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8-30-2013 AAR Strategy Update Posted

Posted on August 31, 2013 by

The August 30, 2013 AAR Strategy update is now available on the AAR Subscribers page.  If you are not currently a subscriber and would like to learn more about the strategy, there is a detailed description on the AAR Strategy … Continue reading →

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The Three Things that Move the Market

Posted on August 29, 2013 by

The equity market seems complex, but it is really much simpler than you think.  There are only three things that move the market.  The following article will identify the three cause and effect relationships and use this framework to examine … Continue reading →

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Posted in Economic Indicators, Fundamental Analysis, Market Commentary, Market Sentiment, Market Timing, Strategy Development | Tagged , , , , | Leave a comment

Top 10 Trader Edge Articles

Posted on August 22, 2013 by

I started Trader Edge almost 18 months ago and it just occurred to me that I had never provided a list of the most popular articles on the site.  If you did not get a chance to read these articles … Continue reading →

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Posted in AmiBroker Code, Futures, Market Breadth, Market Timing, Risk Management, Strategy Development, Technical Analysis | Tagged , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment

A Practitioner’s Guide to Diversification

Posted on August 15, 2013 by

Every finance student is taught the benefits of diversification.  Some learn the requisite formulas and a few even understand how to apply the formulas in practice.  Unfortunately, business schools leave out the most important lesson: the limits and costs of … Continue reading →

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Recession Risk Still Low in July

Posted on August 8, 2013 by

The following article updates the diffusion index, recession slack index, aggregate recession model, and aggregate peak-trough model through July 2013.

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Posted in Economic Indicators, Fundamental Analysis, Market Timing, Recession Forecasting Model | Tagged , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment

Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) Forecast – July 2013

Posted on August 1, 2013 by

This article presents the Trader Edge aggregate neural network model forecast for the July 2013 non-farm payroll data, which will be released tomorrow morning.

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Posted in Economic Indicators, Fundamental Analysis, NFP Forecasting Model | Tagged , , , , , , | Leave a comment

7-31-2013 AAR Strategy Update Posted

Posted on July 31, 2013 by

The July 31, 2013 AAR Strategy update is now available on the AAR Subscribers page.  If you are not currently a subscriber and would like to learn more about the strategy, there is a detailed description on the AAR Strategy … Continue reading →

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Posted in Asset Allocation Rotational (AAR) Strategy, Futures, Market Timing, Relative Strength, Security Selection, Stocks & ETFs, Strategy Development, Technical Analysis | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment