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- Brian Johnson on Trading Option Volatility Featured in Stocks & Commodities Magazine
- John C on Recession Model Forecast: 10-1-2022
- Recession Model Forecast: 10-1-2022 | Trader Edge on New AI Volatility Edge Platform
- Steve Ginn on Trading Option Volatility Featured in Stocks & Commodities Magazine
- John C on Recession Model Forecast: 03-01-2022
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Author Archives: Brian Johnson
Trader Edge Strategy E-Subscription Now Available: 20% ROR
For the first time, I have decided to offer an e-subscription to the signals from one of my favorite proprietary strategies. I initially developed this strategy after the 2008 crash for use in my IRA account and have made several … Continue reading
Posted in Futures, In-Depth Article, Market Timing, Relative Strength, Stocks & ETFs, Strategy Development, Technical Analysis
Tagged asset allocation, asset allocation rotational strategy, COT report, DBC, e-mini S&P 500, EEM, EFA, ETFs, futures, investment strategy subscription, market breadth, relative strength, rotational strategy, sentiment, Trader Edge, US Treasury Note futures
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Use Economic Filters to Reduce Your Strategy Losses
When developing strategies, many systematic traders focus exclusively on technical analysis, with their primary focus on derivatives of price and volume. A few traders add sentiment and breadth statistics to further enhance their models. I suggest going one step further: … Continue reading
Posted in Economic Indicators, Fundamental Analysis, Market Timing, Recession Forecasting Model, Strategy Development, Technical Analysis
Tagged economic filters, economic filters to reduce losses, economic forecasting, economic indicators, recession models, strategy development, technical analysis, Trader Edge
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Recession Risk Remained Low In June
The following article updates the diffusion index, recession slack index, aggregate recession model, and aggregate peak-trough model through June 2013.
Posted in Economic Indicators, Fundamental Analysis, Market Timing, Recession Forecasting Model
Tagged aggregate peak-trough model, aggregate recession model, diffusion index, logit model, probit model, recession forecast, recession forecast June 2013, Recession Slack Index, Trader Edge
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Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) Model Forecast – June 2013
This article presents the Trader Edge aggregate neural network model forecast for the June 2013 non-farm payroll data, which will be released tomorrow morning.
Trend-Following Strategy Insights
Trend-following has been around for 40+ years and is one of the most widely-used strategies among commodity trading advisers (CTAs). In my personal library, I have six different books dedicated to the subject. I have experimented with futures trend-following strategies … Continue reading
Recession Risk Remained Low in May
The following article updates the diffusion index, recession slack index, aggregate recession model, and aggregate peak-trough model through May 2013.
Posted in Economic Indicators, Fundamental Analysis, Market Timing, Recession Forecasting Model
Tagged aggregate peak-trough model, aggregate recession model, diffusion index, logit model, probit model, recession forecast, recession forecast May 2013, Recession Slack Index, Trader Edge
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Non-farm Payroll (NFP) Model Forecast – May 2013
This article presents the Trader Edge aggregate neural network model forecast for the May 2013 non-farm payroll data, which will be released tomorrow morning.
April 2013: Most Extreme Investor Leverage Since 2001 Bubble
In a recent article “Earnings-Price Divergence Always Followed by Negative Returns,” I noted that every extreme divergence (-20% or lower) between year-over-year corporate profits and equity prices in the past 50 plus years was followed by negative year-over-year equity returns. … Continue reading →