Category Archives: Strategy Development

Gold Still Overvalued by 23.5%

I read an interesting article by Neil Azous in the December 2015 issue of Modern Trader (“Has the Golden Moment Passed?”) that inspired me to do some further research into modeling gold prices. The resulting research greatly enhanced my understanding … Continue reading

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Posted in Fundamental Analysis, In-Depth Article, Market Commentary, Market Timing, Strategy Development | Tagged , , , , | Leave a comment

11-30-2015 AAR Strategy Update Posted

The November 30, 2015 AAR Strategy update is now available on the AAR Subscribers page.  If you are not currently a subscriber and would like to learn more about the strategy, there is a detailed description on the AAR Strategy … Continue reading

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Posted in Asset Allocation Rotational (AAR) Strategy, Market Timing, Relative Strength, Risk Management, Strategy Development, Technical Analysis | Tagged , , , , , , | Leave a comment

10-30-2015 AAR Strategy Update Posted

The October 30, 2015 AAR Strategy update is now available on the AAR Subscribers page.  If you are not currently a subscriber and would like to learn more about the strategy, there is a detailed description on the AAR Strategy … Continue reading

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Posted in Asset Allocation Rotational (AAR) Strategy, Fundamental Analysis, Market Timing, Relative Strength, Risk Management, Strategy Development, Technical Analysis | Tagged , , , , , , | Leave a comment

09-30-2015 AAR Strategy Update Posted

The September 30, 2015 AAR Strategy update is now available on the AAR Subscribers page.  If you are not currently a subscriber and would like to learn more about the strategy, there is a detailed description on the AAR Strategy … Continue reading

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Posted in Asset Allocation Rotational (AAR) Strategy, Market Timing, Relative Strength, Risk Management, Strategy Development, Technical Analysis | Tagged , , , , , , | Leave a comment

Systematic Strategy Favors Cash Over Stocks

Volatility has increased significantly in the last few weeks and traders are now in panic mode. The best way to avoid panic is to use a simple, systematic, back-tested strategy that has proven to to be successful over decades. In … Continue reading

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Posted in Market Commentary, Market Timing, Risk Management, Strategy Development, Technical Analysis | Tagged , , | 1 Comment

08-31-2015 AAR Strategy Update Posted

The August 31, 2015 AAR Strategy update is now available on the AAR Subscribers page.  If you are not currently a subscriber and would like to learn more about the strategy, there is a detailed description on the AAR Strategy … Continue reading

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Posted in Asset Allocation Rotational (AAR) Strategy, Market Timing, Relative Strength, Risk Management, Strategy Development, Technical Analysis | Tagged , , , , , , | Leave a comment

Exploiting Earnings Volatility Featured in Stocks & Commodities Magazine

My new options book, Exploiting Earnings Volatility: An Innovative New Approach to Evaluating, Optimizing, and Trading Option Strategies to Profit from Earnings Announcements, is featured in the “Books for Traders” section of the current (September 2015) issue of Technical Analysis … Continue reading

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Negative US Equity Returns Over the Next Decade

In a recent post, I referenced Mark Hulbert’s article for MarketWatch that suggested the “Stock market is doomed to rise only 3.5% per year over the next decade.”  That may be wishful thinking. Jesse Felder’s recent column titled “The Warren … Continue reading

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Posted in Economic Indicators, Fundamental Analysis, Market Commentary, Market Timing, Risk Management, Strategy Development | Tagged , , , | 1 Comment