Tag Archives: overbought

Earnings-Price Divergence Always Followed by Negative Returns

Posted on April 14, 2013 by

I recently wrote about the extreme divergence between earnings and equity prices, but did not have access to comprehensive historical earnings data until recently.  In the article above, I referenced the past few years of earnings data, which was provided … Continue reading →

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Posted in Economic Indicators, Fundamental Analysis, Market Commentary, Market Timing | Tagged , , , , | 5 Comments

Extreme Divergence: Earnings and Equity Prices

Posted on February 20, 2013 by

Earnings are the ultimate driver of stock prices and the divergence between earnings expectations and equity prices has become even more extreme.  Given that the market is technically overbought, implied volatility is extremely low, the CBOE Skew Index is over … Continue reading →

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Posted in Economic Indicators, Fundamental Analysis, Market Commentary | Tagged , , , , | 3 Comments

Q4 2012 Earnings Preview

Posted on January 13, 2013 by

Earnings season is here again, which provides a timely reminder that earnings are the ultimate driver of stock prices.  The following article explores the recent trend in equity prices and earnings estimates.

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Posted in Economic Indicators, Fundamental Analysis, Market Breadth, Market Commentary | Tagged , , , , , , , | 2 Comments

The Secret Weapon of Technical Analysis

Posted on March 28, 2012 by

The vast majority of technical indicators perform a computation on the price or volume of an individual security.  While these indicators can provide valuable insights, most traders ignore the most effective type of technical indicators. 

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Posted in Economic Indicators, In-Depth Article, Market Timing, Risk Management, Strategy Development, Technical Analysis | Tagged , , , , , , , , , | 24 Comments