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Tag Archives: overbought
Extreme Divergence: Earnings and Equity Prices
Earnings are the ultimate driver of stock prices and the divergence between earnings expectations and equity prices has become even more extreme. Given that the market is technically overbought, implied volatility is extremely low, the CBOE Skew Index is over … Continue reading
Q4 2012 Earnings Preview
Earnings season is here again, which provides a timely reminder that earnings are the ultimate driver of stock prices. The following article explores the recent trend in equity prices and earnings estimates.
The Secret Weapon of Technical Analysis
The vast majority of technical indicators perform a computation on the price or volume of an individual security. While these indicators can provide valuable insights, most traders ignore the most effective type of technical indicators.
Posted in Economic Indicators, In-Depth Article, Market Timing, Risk Management, Strategy Development, Technical Analysis
Tagged advance decline line, market breadth, market cycle, market reversal, moving average, overbought, oversold, percent bullish, technical analysis, trend following
24 Comments
Earnings-Price Divergence Always Followed by Negative Returns
I recently wrote about the extreme divergence between earnings and equity prices, but did not have access to comprehensive historical earnings data until recently. In the article above, I referenced the past few years of earnings data, which was provided … Continue reading →