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Tag Archives: market timing
Use Relative Strength to Confirm Trend Direction
In previous articles, I explained how to make market timing decisions with relative strength and how to use relative strength to identify market trends. Both of these articles used relative strength to forecast trend changes in the equity market and … Continue reading
Combine Indicators to Identify High-Probability Reversals
I read about this indicator in an article titled “The DMI Stochastic,” which appeared in the January 2013 issue of Technical Analysis of Stocks and Commodities. The article was written by Barbara Star. In the article, Star combined two well-known … Continue reading
A Relative Strength Market Timing Oscillator
I read about this indicator in an article titled “Roulette Wheels and Individual Stocks,” which appeared in the December 2012 issue of Active Trader. The article was written by Richard J. Bauer, Jr. In the article, Bauer used an innovative … Continue reading
Posted in AmiBroker Code, COT Analysis, Futures, Market Commentary, Market Timing, Relative Strength, Technical Analysis
Tagged Active Trader, AmiBroker, COT, COT Indicator, market timing, monthly pivot, monthly pivot resistance, monthly pivot support, moving average, oscillator, reveral, reversal candidate, roulette wheel, RW indicator, technical analysis, trade, trader
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Recession Models and the Fiscal Cliff
Last week I introduced two new probit models to forecast recessions and the period between the market’s peak and trough associated with each recession – as defined by the National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER). In response to that article, … Continue reading
Housing Starts Only Bright Spot This Week
Housing starts were the only bright spot in another dismal week of economic data in the U.S. The following post provides an overview of the major economic releases from this week as well as an update on market conditions, including … Continue reading
S&P 500 Overvalued Based on Price to Sales Ratio
In a recent article “Earnings-Price Divergence Always Followed by Negative Returns,” I noted that every extreme divergence (-20% or lower) between year-over-year corporate profits and equity prices in the past 50 plus years was followed by negative year-over-year equity returns. … Continue reading →