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Tag Archives: market timing
Relatlive Strength Warning Sign
The relative strength market timing indicator (RSMTI) is one of my favorite tools. It has been very useful in identifying short-term and long-term market turning points before they occur. It correctly predicted the recent pullback in the equity markets eight … Continue reading
Posted in AmiBroker Code, Market Timing, Relative Strength, Technical Analysis
Tagged market timing, relative strength, security pairs, trade, Trader Edge
2 Comments
Market Breadth Divergence Update
On Sunday November 17th, I posted an article that identified headwinds for the equity market. I explained that five independent leading indicators all pointed to near-term trouble for equities: a forming divergence in market breadth, an elevated CBOE Skew Index, … Continue reading
Posted in Economic Indicators, Market Breadth, Market Commentary, Market Sentiment, Market Timing, Trade Analysis
Tagged advance decline line, CBOE Skew index, cumulative advance-decline line, divergence, double divergence, gamma weighted SOIR, market breadth, market sentiment, market timing, market top, price-to-sales ratio, put-call ratio, technical analysis, trade, trader
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Five Headwinds for Equities
I typically release new posts on Thursdays, but market conditions justified an accelerated schedule this week. Five independent leading indicators all point to near-term trouble for equities: a forming divergence in market breadth, an elevated CBOE Skew Index, a very … Continue reading
Posted in Economic Indicators, Fundamental Analysis, In-Depth Article, Market Breadth, Market Commentary, Market Sentiment, Market Timing, Technical Analysis
Tagged advance decline line, CBOE Skew index, cumulative advance-decline line, divergence, double divergence, gamma weighted SOIR, market breadth, market sentiment, market timing, market top, price-to-sales ratio, put-call ratio, technical analysis, trade, trader
2 Comments
The Deadly Double Divergence
Would you be interested in an indicator that has signaled ten market tops since 1966 without a single false signal? I read about such an indicator in an article titled “Double Divergences in the Advance-Decline Line,” which appeared in the … Continue reading
The Three Things that Move the Market
The equity market seems complex, but it is really much simpler than you think. There are only three things that move the market. The following article will identify the three cause and effect relationships and use this framework to examine … Continue reading
S&P 500 Overvalued Based on Price to Sales Ratio
In a recent article “Earnings-Price Divergence Always Followed by Negative Returns,” I noted that every extreme divergence (-20% or lower) between year-over-year corporate profits and equity prices in the past 50 plus years was followed by negative year-over-year equity returns. … Continue reading
Use Relative Strength to Confirm Trend Direction
In previous articles, I explained how to make market timing decisions with relative strength and how to use relative strength to identify market trends. Both of these articles used relative strength to forecast trend changes in the equity market and … Continue reading
5 Near-Term Warning Signs
Despite the impressive V-shaped recovery in stock prices over the past two weeks, there is still serious cause for concern. There are five near-term warning signs the equity markets must vanquish before the bulls can declare a short-term victory over … Continue reading →