Yearly Archives: 2014

Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) Model Forecast – October 2014

Posted on November 6, 2014 by

This article presents the Trader Edge aggregate neural network model forecast for the October 2014 non-farm payroll data, which is scheduled to be released tomorrow morning at 8:30 AM EST.

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Posted in Economic Indicators, Fundamental Analysis, Market Commentary, Market Timing, NFP Forecasting Model | Tagged , , , , , , | Leave a comment

10-31-2014 AAR Strategy Update Posted

Posted on October 31, 2014 by

The October 31, 2014 AAR Strategy update is now available on the AAR Subscribers page.  If you are not currently a subscriber and would like to learn more about the strategy, there is a detailed description on the AAR Strategy … Continue reading →

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Posted in Asset Allocation Rotational (AAR) Strategy, Market Timing, Risk Management, Strategy Development, Technical Analysis | Tagged , , , , , , | 2 Comments

Sentiment Warning Signal Flashing Red

Posted on October 30, 2014 by

Many traders use technical and/or fundamental data, but few traders have discovered the unique benefits of using sentiment data in their investment process. Sentiment data attempts to quantify the emotional mood of investors and traders and can be used as … Continue reading →

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Posted in Market Commentary, Market Sentiment, Market Timing | Tagged , , | 1 Comment

Political Diversions

Posted on October 23, 2014 by

I don’t believe it is appropriate to use this forum to spread my political beliefs. However, I do follow politics and I wanted to share with you two interesting sites that forecast election results. The first is Nate Silver’s FiveThirtyEight.com. … Continue reading →

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Posted in Uncategorized | Tagged , , | 1 Comment

Equity Market Snapshot 10-15-2014

Posted on October 16, 2014 by

The recent sell-off in the equity markets and the dramatic increase in volatility has raised serious concerns among many traders and investors. The fact that the sell-off is occurring in October and the expansion is in its fifth year has … Continue reading →

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Posted in Equity Market Snapshot, Market Breadth, Market Commentary, Market Timing, Technical Analysis | Tagged , , , , , | Leave a comment

Recession Model Forecast 10-01-2014

Posted on October 9, 2014 by

The following article updates the diffusion index, recession slack index, aggregate recession model, and aggregate peak-trough model through September 2014. Please note that two new explanatory variables were added to the Trader Edge Recession Models in July and one explanatory … Continue reading →

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Posted in Economic Indicators, Market Commentary, Market Timing, Recession Forecasting Model | Tagged , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment

Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) Model Forecast – September 2014

Posted on October 2, 2014 by

This article presents the Trader Edge aggregate neural network model forecast for the September 2014 non-farm payroll data, which is scheduled to be released tomorrow morning at 8:30 AM EDT.

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Posted in Economic Indicators, Market Commentary, Market Timing, NFP Forecasting Model | Tagged , , , , , , | Leave a comment

09-30-2014 AAR Strategy Update Posted

Posted on September 30, 2014 by

The September 30, 2014 AAR Strategy update is now available on the AAR Subscribers page.  If you are not currently a subscriber and would like to learn more about the strategy, there is a detailed description on the AAR Strategy … Continue reading →

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Posted in Asset Allocation Rotational (AAR) Strategy, Market Timing, Relative Strength, Risk Management, Strategy Development, Technical Analysis | Tagged , , , , , , | Leave a comment