Category Archives: Economic Indicators

Recession Model Forecast: 03-01-2018

The following article updates the diffusion index, recession slack index, aggregate recession model, and aggregate peak-trough model through February 2018. The current 21-variable model has a diverse set of explanatory variables and is quite robust. Each of the explanatory variables … Continue reading

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Recession Model Forecast: 02-01-2018

The following article updates the diffusion index, recession slack index, aggregate recession model, and aggregate peak-trough model through January 2018. The current 21-variable model has a diverse set of explanatory variables and is quite robust. Each of the explanatory variables … Continue reading

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Posted in Economic Indicators, Fundamental Analysis, Market Commentary, Market Timing, Recession Forecasting Model, Risk Management | Tagged , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment

Recession Model Forecast: 01-01-2018

The following article updates the diffusion index, recession slack index, aggregate recession model, and aggregate peak-trough model through December 2017. The current 21-variable model has a diverse set of explanatory variables and is quite robust. Each of the explanatory variables … Continue reading

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Posted in Economic Indicators, Fundamental Analysis, Market Commentary, Market Timing, Recession Forecasting Model, Risk Management | Tagged , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment

Recession Model Forecast: 12-01-2017

The following article updates the diffusion index, recession slack index, aggregate recession model, and aggregate peak-trough model through November 2017. The current 21-variable model has a diverse set of explanatory variables and is quite robust. Each of the explanatory variables … Continue reading

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Posted in Economic Indicators, Fundamental Analysis, Market Commentary, Market Timing, Recession Forecasting Model, Risk Management | Tagged , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment

Recession Model Forecast: 11-01-2017

The following article updates the diffusion index, recession slack index, aggregate recession model, and aggregate peak-trough model through October 2017. The current 21-variable model has a diverse set of explanatory variables and is quite robust. Each of the explanatory variables … Continue reading

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Posted in Economic Indicators, Fundamental Analysis, Market Commentary, Market Timing, Recession Forecasting Model, Risk Management | Tagged , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment

Recession Model Forecast: 10-01-2017

The following article updates the diffusion index, recession slack index, aggregate recession model, and aggregate peak-trough model through September 2017. The current 21-variable model has a diverse set of explanatory variables and is quite robust. Each of the explanatory variables … Continue reading

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Posted in Economic Indicators, Fundamental Analysis, Market Timing, Recession Forecasting Model, Risk Management | Tagged , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment

Recession Model Forecast: 09-01-2017

The following article updates the diffusion index, recession slack index, aggregate recession model, and aggregate peak-trough model through August 2017. The current 21-variable model has a diverse set of explanatory variables and is quite robust. Each of the explanatory variables … Continue reading

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Posted in Economic Indicators, Fundamental Analysis, Market Commentary, Market Timing, Recession Forecasting Model, Risk Management | Tagged , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment

Recession Model Forecast: 08-01-2017

The following article updates the diffusion index, recession slack index, aggregate recession model, and aggregate peak-trough model through July 2017. The current 21-variable model has a diverse set of explanatory variables and is quite robust. Each of the explanatory variables … Continue reading

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Posted in Economic Indicators, Fundamental Analysis, Market Commentary, Market Timing, Recession Forecasting Model, Risk Management | Tagged , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment