Category Archives: Market Commentary

Use Relative Strength to Identify Market Trends

Posted on June 8, 2012 by

Relative strength rotational strategies have a proven track record of success, but the potential uses of relative strength extend much further than security selection.  One of my favorite techniques is to use the relative strength of two different indices, futures … Continue reading →

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Posted in Economic Indicators, Futures, In-Depth Article, Market Breadth, Market Commentary, Market Timing, Relative Strength, Technical Analysis | Tagged , , , , , , , , | 3 Comments

A Very Bad Week for the Market

Posted on June 4, 2012 by

I have been focusing on providing a series of in-depth, educational articles to provide a foundation for future commentary, but the economic news was so bad last week that I felt compelled to address the current market environment.  The following … Continue reading →

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Posted in Economic Indicators, Market Commentary, Summary Market Indicator Score | Tagged , , , , , , | 2 Comments

How to Draw Trendlines & Avoid Severe Losses

Posted on June 1, 2012 by

From the high in 2000 to the low in 2002, the NASDAQ 100 index lost 83% of its value.  It has never recovered its losses.   From 2008 to 2009, the S&P 500 index lost 57% of its value (peak … Continue reading →

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Posted in Futures, In-Depth Article, Market Commentary, Market Timing, Risk Management, Stocks & ETFs, Technical Analysis | Tagged , , , , , , , | 5 Comments

Use Sector Confirmation to Improve Your Trading Results

Posted on May 11, 2012 by

Analyzing the technical and/or fundamental characteristics of an individual security is obviously a requirement before investing.  However, very few traders go the extra mile and evaluate the characteristics of the market sector as well.  Using sector confirmation can help you … Continue reading →

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Posted in COT Analysis, Futures, In-Depth Article, Market Commentary, Market Timing, SWAMI Charts, Trade Analysis | Tagged , , , , , | 4 Comments

Everybody Loves Fridays

Posted on April 18, 2012 by

We all use economic, fundamental, and/or technical data to gain insight into market movements.  Some data may appear to lead the market, but there is often no plausible explanation for their supposed predictive abilities.  This can be disconcerting for a … Continue reading →

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Posted in COT Analysis, Futures, In-Depth Article, Market Commentary, Market Timing, Seasonal Tools, Technical Analysis | Tagged , , , , , , | 1 Comment

Look at the Big Picture

Posted on April 11, 2012 by

We all have a few favorite technical indicators.  However, almost all technical indicators calculate indicator values for a specific look-back period and then plot those values over time.  With this approach, we can only analyze one look-back period at a … Continue reading →

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Posted in COT Analysis, Futures, In-Depth Article, Market Commentary, Market Timing, Stocks & ETFs, Technical Analysis, Trade Analysis | Tagged , , , , , , , , , | 3 Comments

Trade With the Experts

Posted on March 28, 2012 by

How would you like to know the current and historical positions of knowledgeable experts, with proven track records in almost every market – for free? Very few traders take advantage of this resource provided weekly by the Commodity Futures Trading … Continue reading →

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Posted in COT Analysis, Futures, In-Depth Article, Market Commentary, Market Timing, Technical Analysis, Trade Analysis | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , | 11 Comments