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Category Archives: COT Analysis
Identifying trends and recognizing overbought and oversold conditions are the main objectives of technical analysis. This article introduces a new tool called the Volatility Adjusted Slope Indicator (VASI) that does all three simultaneously. The VASI is standardized, which means that … Continue reading
Sometimes the simplest ideas work the best. Before market peaks, shares typically transition from strong (institutional) hands to weak (retail) hands. Before market troughs, shares usually move from weak hands back into strong hands. Both of these scenarios result in … Continue reading
I read about this indicator in an article titled “Roulette Wheels and Individual Stocks,” which appeared in the December 2012 issue of Active Trader. The article was written by Richard J. Bauer, Jr. In the article, Bauer used an innovative … Continue reading
The latest FactSet earnings report is out and the results are not good. It is almost certain that Q3 2012 earnings will be down on a year-over-year basis. In addition, a number of high profile industry leaders have missed on … Continue reading
Equity markets have been on a tear for the past 18 weeks and speculators have continued to add to their long positions throughout this rally, reaching the extreme threshold several weeks ago. Over the past month, commercials have added to … Continue reading
With the daily deluge of new data, it is easy to lose the forest for the trees. When in doubt, focus on earnings, the ultimate driver of stock prices. If I could choose one statistic to know in advance, it … Continue reading
At the end of every article, I solicit topic suggestions from readers. The following is recent request from Pete Kasper, which provided the inspiration for this article: I continue to enjoy your cogent articles week after week. I’d like … Continue reading
In the December 2007 issue of Futures Magazine, Larry Williams described his Price, Open Interest, and Volume (POIV) indicator and he also included the formula for POIV, which allows us to reproduce the indicator calculations. The following post reexamines the … Continue reading